Tuesday, December 6, 2011

NFL projected records after week 13

The playoff picture is pretty stable but there are a few changes this week.  See the full list of projections here and see a summary of the projected playoff teams by week.

In the AFC there are now 9 teams projected to finish 9-7 and only one is going to make it.  Presently that team is Denver winning the West, beating out Oakland, also projected at 9-7, on division record.  Tennessee and Cincinnati at 9-7 would miss out on a wildcard to the Jets who are projected to be 10-6.

At the top of the AFC there are now 4 teams projected to be 12-4.  Presently, New England and Houston would get the byes (conference record) and New England would get the #1 seed (strength of victory).  Baltimore would win the North and Pittsburgh would get the top wildcard slot.

In the NFC, Green Bay is now projected to finish 16-0 for the first time this year (45% chance).  There is still a 40% chance they finish with one loss.  In the battle for the other bye, the 49ers presently get that at 13-3 with New Orleans close behind at 12-4.  Despite their loss to Arizona, Dallas is projected to win the East at 9-7, the Giants a game back at 8-8.

Atlanta is projected to secure the first wildcard at 10-6 and Chicago and Detroit are both projected to be 9-7 with Chicago getting the spot based on conference record.