The playoff picture is pretty stable but there are a few changes this week. See the full list of projections here and see a summary of the projected playoff teams by week.
In the AFC there are now 9 teams projected to finish 9-7 and only one is going to make it. Presently that team is Denver winning the West, beating out Oakland, also projected at 9-7, on division record. Tennessee and Cincinnati at 9-7 would miss out on a wildcard to the Jets who are projected to be 10-6.
At the top of the AFC there are now 4 teams projected to be 12-4. Presently, New England and Houston would get the byes (conference record) and New England would get the #1 seed (strength of victory). Baltimore would win the North and Pittsburgh would get the top wildcard slot.
In the NFC, Green Bay is now projected to finish 16-0 for the first time this year (45% chance). There is still a 40% chance they finish with one loss. In the battle for the other bye, the 49ers presently get that at 13-3 with New Orleans close behind at 12-4. Despite their loss to Arizona, Dallas is projected to win the East at 9-7, the Giants a game back at 8-8.
Atlanta is projected to secure the first wildcard at 10-6 and Chicago and Detroit are both projected to be 9-7 with Chicago getting the spot based on conference record.
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