Saturday, December 31, 2011

2012 Capital One Bowl - South Carolina to win and cover

The Capital One Bowl will take place on 1/2 pitting Nebraska against South Carolina. A subscription for all previews a week in advance of the games is available.

Nebraska is ranked #21 by the computer with a 9-3 record and a rating of 76.353 against a schedule strength of 69.983. Their performance chart can be found below and shows they were up and down particularly mid season, their worst game being at Michigan and best game being against Michigan State. They are 3-5 against the spread this year and the computer is 3-6 picking their games against the spread and 7-2 picking winners in their games.



South Carolina is ranked #13 by the computer with a 10-2 record and a rating of 79.216 against a schedule strength of 70.154. Their performance chart can be found below and shows they were a little up and down, their worst game being against Navy and best game being against Clemson. They are 5-3 against the spread this year and the computer is 3-5 picking their games against the spread and 6-2 picking winners in their games.



The teams are separated by 3 degrees in only one way as follows:

3 Nebraska-->Chattanooga-->The_Citadel-->South_Carolina

The spread is South Carolina by 1.5 and the computer agrees picking them by 2.9. Here is the pick using the format from the newsletter:

*.South Carolina -1.5 over . Nebraska 2.9 1.4 0.621 0.558

Enjoy!


Newsletter pick format:

The x denotes the home team. The * denotes the pick to win the game. The . is just a place holder. The number before "over" is the best line I've found typically from Maddux Sports. The team on the left is the pick against the spread. The first column after the second team is what the computer predicts the winning team will win by. The next column is the difference between the Vegas line and that prediction. The next column is the confidence of my pick to win. The last column is the confidence of the pick against the spread.

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