Friday, September 27, 2013

Estimated Dynamic NTRP Ratings for Los Angeles

I've done a number of reports for players in Southern California so I thought I'd post a list of ratings for the Los Angeles area thru 7/1/2013.

As always, if you are interested in an up-to-date rating and full report, contact me.

Wednesday, September 25, 2013

Nearing the end of the 2013 USTA season, what is your dynamic NTRP rating?

Sectionals in the 18 & over and 40 & over USTA Leagues are complete and teams are headed to Nationals which will take place in October.  That means the 2013 USTA year is about complete and year-end ratings will be out in just a couple of months.

While the ratings come out right around the end of November, the USTA season actually runs from roughly the beginning of November to end of October.  Nationals are generally done by then and the month of November is spent doing the year-end calculations and establishing the year-end ratings for each player.

If you are hoping to cement your bump up to the next level but aren't going to Nationals, you may still have a chance to get some matches that count in.  Some sections have fall or early start leagues that count towards your rating and those leagues are going on now.

If you are interested in getting a preview or sneak peak into what your year-end rating may be or where it stands right now, an Estimated Dynamic NTRP Rating Report is an excellent way to do so.  Or if you are needing to form teams but can't wait for the year-end ratings to come out, I can generate team reports or lists of players and ratings to aid in selecting the best players at a given level.  Contact me to see what can be done.

Saturday, September 7, 2013

More unexpected DQs and non-DQs explained

I've explained a number of DQs in the past (see here and here for a couple) using my Estimated Dynamic NTRP Ratings and someone shared with me an unexpected DQ as well as an unexpected one during the Sectionals in the Eastern section of the USTA that I took a look at.  Once again, my ratings explain them showing how accurate they are.

First, this player had some very good results and the team fully expected him to be DQ'd but decided to just keep playing him as the Eastern section doesn't reverse matches for DQ'd players.  Despite a list of easy straight set wins, through Sectionals, he wasn't DQ'd.

My ratings do show that he likely had a strike from his first match of the year, but then managed to have his rating hover between 4.5 and 4.6 in large part because of a very low match rating in his second match.  Here is his full chart.

So while I can't confirm my ratings are exactly correct in this case, we only know he wasn't DQ'd, I seem to have gotten this one right.

Second, this player started the season as a 4.0 but got DQ'd to 4.5 during the mixed season, and so had to enter the men's season as a self-rated 4.5.  He went into Sectionals with one win (6-4,7-6) and one default win and proceeded to win 4 matches at Sectionals, 3 in match tie-breaks, and gets DQ'd which was very unexpected.

My ratings show that it is possible that he actually had 4 strikes at Sectionals, and was able to get the 4th simply because the match was played the same day and they may not have had a chance to do the calculations before the 2nd match.  Here is his full chart.

This shows pretty clearly that the first match at Sectionals was the key one generating a huge match rating of 5.33.  When the next two matches were also very good, his fate was sealed.

How did he generate such a high rating in that first 8/23 match?  He played with a partner that happened to be rated on the lower end of the 4.5 range and against two very strong 4.5s (likely to be bumped up).  Being only his second rated match, his rating is calculated as what it would have to be to make the match result correct and that was 5.33.

So my ratings have again gotten it right.  A player everyone thought would be DQ'd wasn't, and a player that on the surface looked unlikely to be DQ'd was.

If you've been DQ'd, and especially if you can share your DQ letter with me, let me know.

Wednesday, September 4, 2013

Last few USTA Sectionals this weekend - Mid-Atlantic and Texas

The USTA League season for the 18 & over and 40 & over leagues is coming to a close soon with Nationals in October, and it looks like the last of the teams to qualify will be decided this weekend.  The Mid-Atlantic and Texas sections are holding their 40 & over Sectionals and I know one of my Estimated Dynamic NTRP Rating Report customers is interested as one of their opponents at Nationals will be coming out of one of these sections.

Good luck to all.  I've only been to Nationals once, but it was a great experience and we had a blast even if we didn't win it all like we hoped.  So enjoy trying to get there!