Current 2012 Superbowl Chances as of Week 15

With 2 weeks to go in the regular season, we are close enough to start looking at odds of winning the Superbowl.  Specifically, using my computer's projected playoff teams, here are the current chances of getting to and winning the Superbowl.

Team	Get to	Win
Green_Bay	0.559	0.342
New_England	0.506	0.255
San_Francisco	0.256	0.132
Houston	0.221	0.083
Pittsburgh	0.133	0.055
New_Orleans	0.098	0.049
Baltimore	0.079	0.032
Dallas	0.033	0.012
Atlanta	0.029	0.012
Denver	0.035	0.010
NY_Jets	0.027	0.009
Detroit	0.023	0.009

It is no surprise that Green Bay is an odds on favorite to get to the big game and the team with the best chance to win it all (34.2%), but New England also has a better than 50% chance of getting to the Superbowl.  Naturally, San Francisco and Houston, the other teams with the byes, are the next most likely.

What is perhaps a bit of a surprise is that Baltimore, a projected wildcard, has a better chance of getting to the Superbowl than Denver, a division winner does.  Also, Atlanta, a wildcard, has as good a chance of winning the Superbowl as division winner Dallas.