Monday, June 19, 2017

2017 USTA League PNW Seattle Area 18 & Over Sectionals Teams

The 18 & over local playoffs for the Seattle area of the Pacific Northwest Section were held this weekend, and with winners decided, we have teams headed to Sectionals.  Here is a review including looking at how the top teams identified by my flight reports did.

Note, the past few years the finalists from local playoffs have both advanced to Sectionals as a wildcard was available and given to the second place team.  I have not confirmed that is the case this year yet, but am assuming so.  Because of this, sometimes teams will not play their best line-ups in the final as both know they are advancing.

In the tables below the teams with byes are in bold, the teams that lost prior to the final have been struck out, and the runner up is in italics.  And the average column is each team's top-8 average before this weekend.

For the 2.5 women, the top seed was RBW-Goel and they did win it all, but the #2 seed was upset in the semis and BTA-Rotival got the runner-up.

SeedTeamAverage
1RBW-Goel2.58
2AYTC-Tennis Addicts- Truong-Hoang-Louie2.47
3PL-Sugar and Slice-Bhatia2.44
3BTA-Rotival2.44
5ETC-No Love-Otterholt2.42
6RBW-Morris2.41

The 3.0 women saw the top-seed win as well in TCSP-Slice Girls, but ETC-Whitney pulled some upsets to make the final.

SeedTeamAverage
1TCSP-Slice Girls-Cahill3.09
2RBW-Sakoda3.05
3AYTC-Serve Us a Double-Thomas3.00
4TCSP-Hit and Run-Burvill Holmes2.98
5TCSP-Sharks-Holland2.97
6RBW-Schultz2.95
7BC-OConnell2.94
7ETC-Whitney2.94
9RBW-Braza2.92
10PL-Bachar2.91
11BAIN-Lesnik2.90
11AYTC-Earles2.90

The 3.0 men found the two lowest seeds making the final, and the bottom seed winning it all, RBW-Raffetto-Cook taking out ETC-Blasko.

SeedTeamAverage
1MC-Dawgs 2-Mark3.07
2ETC-JustAce League-Kanade3.05
3TCSP-Double Shots-Dalal3.04
4CAC/SL-Hocker3.02
5ETC-Blasko2.99
6RBW-Raffetto-Cook2.96

The 3.5 women had the #1 seed make the final in RBW-Lilley, but lose to the #4 seed BC-Swingers-Bernardez.

SeedTeamAverage
1RBW-Lilley3.44
2CP-Cooley3.43
3IND-Wild Bunch-Tran3.42
4BC-Swingers-Bernardez3.41
5TCSP-Iyer3.40
6TCSP-Cervaces-Bonitas-Miller3.37
6TCSP-Remix-Wolson3.37
8AYTC-KissOurAces-Ochsner3.35
9TCSP-WildCardz-Moe3.31
10BETC-Alquiza3.29

The 3.5 men saw the #2 seed win in MC-Blasters-Vashist over TCSP-Hombres-Rogers, but neither had to pull an upset, other teams beating higher seeds for them.

RankTeamAverage
1IND-Khuc3.56
2MC-Blasters-Vashist3.48
3GC-Hummer3.46
4TCSP-3.5 Hombres-Rogers3.45
5ETC-Alonichau3.42
5PL-Firebalz-Coffey3.42
7STC-Pirates-Ferry3.39
8BTA-Higashi3.37

The 4.0 women resulted in the top-seed, TCSP-Fiebig winning over the #4 seed NTC-Vecchio.

RankTeamAverage
1TCSP-All About that ACE! Fiebig3.92
2CP-Tigers-Laun3.90
3TCSP-Smash Girls-Boone3.87
4NTC-Each Hit 4-Vecchio3.81
5FC-Rutter3.77
6PSC-Tzeng3.75
7TCSP-Pemberton3.71
8HBSQ-Vana3.70

The 4.0 men had lower seeds with the byes, and the lowest seed in PSC-Tortop made the final, but lost to the #2 seed IND-Nguyen.

RankTeamAverage
1AYTC-Jedi Squirrels-Robey3.92
2IND-Play2-Nguyen3.91
3NTC-Smack Four O'-Chen3.88
4HBSQ-Capretto3.86
4MI-Sedlacek3.86
6PSC-Smashers-Tortop3.85

The 4.5 women had the top-seed in NTC-Antczak make the final, but lose to the bottom seed STC-Holmes/Bassetti.

RankTeamAverage
1NTC-Antczak4.31
2NTC-Wilson4.26
3BELL-Anders4.24
4STC-Holmes/Bassetti4.22

The 4.5 men had the top seed in NTC-Stanley beat the bottom seed MI-Reimers.

RankTeamAverage
1NTC-Stanley4.42
2AYTC-Friendship is Magic-Grayson4.39
3NTC-An4.31
4MI-Reimers4.29

Last, the 5.0+ men had the #2 and #3 seeds play with RBW-Walsh beating MI-Larson.

RankTeamAverage
1TCSP-Dieveney4.97
2MI-Larson4.93
3RBW-Walsh4.85
4CAC/SL-Schouten4.77

Congrats to all the winners.  Good luck at Sectionals!

Friday, June 16, 2017

2017 PNW Seattle 18 & over local playoffs are underway, a belated preview

The Seattle area local playoffs for the 18+ division started a couple days ago.  I wasn't able to do any previews, but here how things stand so far.

For all of the "seeding" I note below, I'm using the top-8 average from my sub-flight reports that I generate using my Estimated Dynamic NTRP Ratings.  Contact me if interested in the full sub-flight report for these or any playoffs or would like to get any other report.

I've bolded the teams that have byes and marked those that already lost with strikethrough.

The 2.5 women had the teams with byes be the teams with the highest top-8 averages.  The first round matches saw two equals play and a minor upset.

SeedTeamAverage
1RBW-Goel2.58
2AYTC-Tennis Addicts- Truong-Hoang-Louie2.47
3PL-Sugar and Slice-Bhatia2.44
3BTA-Rotival2.44
5ETC-No Love-Otterholt2.42
6RBW-Morris2.41

The 2.5 men did not have local playoffs as there are not enough teams/flights for that.  The sub-flight winners simply advance

The 3.0 women has a huge draw, 12 teams!  The byes went to the #1, #3, #5, and #12 (!) seeds.  The first round matches played as I write this had the higher seeds win each one.  The top-2 seeds could meet in the final.

SeedTeamAverage
1TCSP-Slice Girls-Cahill3.09
2RBW-Sakoda3.05
3AYTC-Serve Us a Double-Thomas3.00
4TCSP-Hit and Run-Burvill Holmes2.98
5TCSP-Sharks-Holland2.97
6RBW-Schultz2.95
7BC-OConnell2.94
7ETC-Whitney2.94
9RBW-Braza2.92
10PL-Bachar2.91
11BAIN-Lesnik2.90
11AYTC-Earles2.90

The 3.0 men found the top-2 seeds by the number having the byes, and the two first round matches saw minor upsets.  So the top-2 seeds are still on track to meet.

SeedTeamAverage
1MC-Dawgs 2-Mark3.07
2ETC-JustAce League-Kanade3.05
3TCSP-Double Shots-Dalal3.04
4CAC/SL-Hocker3.02
5ETC-Blasko2.99
6RBW-Raffetto-Cook2.96

The 3.5 women has a large draw with 10 teams, resulting in byes for 6 teams that went to the #1, #2, #3, #6, #7, and #8 teams.  The first round matches saw one go as expected and another had an upset.  The top-2 seeds would meet in a semi, and not the final.

SeedTeamAverage
1RBW-Lilley3.44
2CP-Cooley3.43
3IND-Wild Bunch-Tran3.42
4BC-Swingers-Bernardez3.41
5TCSP-Iyer3.40
6TCSP-Cervaces-Bonitas-Miller3.37
6TCSP-Remix-Wolson3.37
8AYTC-KissOurAces-Ochsner3.35
9TCSP-WildCardz-Moe3.31
10BETC-Alquiza3.29

The 3.5 men had no byes and no matches played yet.  The top-2 seeds are on opposite sides of the draw though so could meet in the final.

RankTeamAverage
1IND-Khuc3.56
2MC-Blasters-Vashist3.48
3GC-Hummer3.46
4TCSP-3.5 Hombres-Rogers3.45
5ETC-Alonichau3.42
5PL-Firebalz-Coffey3.42
7STC-Pirates-Ferry3.39
8BTA-Higashi3.37

The 4.0 women also had no byes and no matches completed yet.  The top-2 seeds are on opposite sides of the draw though so could meet in the final.

RankTeamAverage
1TCSP-All About that ACE! Fiebig3.92
2CP-Tigers-Laun3.90
3TCSP-Smash Girls-Boone3.87
4NTC-Each Hit 4-Vecchio3.81
5FC-Rutter3.77
6PSC-Tzeng3.75
7TCSP-Pemberton3.71
8HBSQ-Vana3.70

The 4.0 men did have two byes, those going to the #4 and #6 seeds!  No matches have been played yet but the top-2 seeds can meet in the final

RankTeamAverage
1AYTC-Jedi Squirrels-Robey3.92
2IND-Play2-Nguyen3.91
3NTC-Smack Four O'-Chen3.88
4HBSQ-Capretto3.86
4MI-Sedlacek3.86
6PSC-Smashers-Tortop3.85

The 4.5 women has no byes with just four teams, the top-2 seeds can meet in the final

RankTeamAverage
1NTC-Antczak4.31
2NTC-Wilson4.26
3BELL-Anders4.24
4STC-Holmes/Bassetti4.22

The 4.5 men are also just four teams, but the top-2 seeds are facing each other in a semi.

RankTeamAverage
1NTC-Stanley4.42
2AYTC-Friendship is Magic-Grayson4.39
3NTC-An4.31
4MI-Reimers4.29

The 5.0+ women do not have playoffs.

The 5.0+ men have four teams and the top-2 seeds (top-5 average since they just play 3 courts) play each other in the semis.

RankTeamAverage
1TCSP-Dieveney4.97
2MI-Larson4.93
3RBW-Walsh4.85
4CAC/SL-Schouten4.77
There you have it!  I'll report back later.

Thursday, June 8, 2017

An updated preview of 2017 USTA League Nationals contenders - 18 & Over 4.0

I wrote a series of Nationals previews a few months ago, now that it is June, more areas have started (or even completed) local league play, so it is time for another round of previews.

We'll start with the 4.0 level of the 18 & over division.  See the earlier preview to see what things looked like in April.

As usual, I'll be using my Estimated Dynamic NTRP Ratings to calculate the average dynamic rating for the top-8 players on the teams' rosters.  And I'll show the section/district/flight to let you know where the teams are from, but omit the team name to keep it a little mysterious.  Contact me if you are wanting more details on your team or what the actual teams are, or if you are interested in your own report, or a team or sub-flight report.

Note that in these lists, I have not filtered out teams that are no longer in the running to advance to Nationals.  So some of these teams may have not made it out of their local league, area playoffs, or State/District playoffs, as in some areas those playoffs have already taken place.  In the next round of updates I do, I'll limit who shows up, but this way you still get an idea of what areas are particularly strong.




First the top-30 and ties men's teams.

RankLocationAverage
1FLORIDA / REGION_8 / BROWARD4.18
2SOUTHERN / GEORGIA / GA - ATLANTA - 20174.10
2SOUTHERN / GEORGIA / GA - ATLANTA - 20174.10
2SOUTHERN / NORTH CAROLINA / NC - ENO RIVER (Dur)4.10
5SOUTHERN / SOUTH CAROLINA / SC - LOW COUNTRY-LCTA4.09
6MIDWEST / CHICAGO4.08
6MIDWEST / CHICAGO4.08
6SOUTHERN / SOUTH CAROLINA / SC - LOW COUNTRY-LCTA4.08
6FLORIDA / REGION_8 / SOUTH MIAMI/DADE4.08
10FLORIDA / REGION_8 / SOUTH MIAMI/DADE4.07
10FLORIDA / REGION_3 / HILLSBOROUGH4.07
10TEXAS / DALLAS4.07
13EASTERN / METROPOLITAN REGION / Manhattan4.06
13FLORIDA / REGION_8 / SOUTH MIAMI/DADE4.06
13SOUTHERN / LOUISIANA / LA - NEW ORLEANS4.06
13TEXAS / SAN ANTONIO4.06
17SOUTHERN / NORTH CAROLINA / NC - CAPITAL AREA (Ral)4.05
17NO. CALIFORNIA / Men's 4.0 - UP4.05
17SOUTHERN / GEORGIA / GA - ATLANTA - 20174.05
20SOUTHERN / GEORGIA / GA - COLUMBUS - CORTA - 20174.04
20SOUTHERN / GEORGIA / GA - ATLANTA - 20174.04
20NO. CALIFORNIA / Men's 4.0 - SA -14.04
20NO. CALIFORNIA / Men's 4.0 - MA 24.04
20MID ATLANTIC / VIRGINIA / RICHMOND4.04
20FLORIDA / REGION_3 / HILLSBOROUGH4.04
20MIDDLE STATES / PHILADELPHIA4.04
27NEW ENGLAND / NORTHERN CONNECTICUT4.03
27TEXAS / HOUSTON4.03
27MIDWEST / NORTHERN ILLINOIS4.03
27MIDWEST / CHICAGO4.03
27MIDWEST / NORTHERN ILLINOIS4.03
27TEXAS / SAN ANTONIO4.03

Then the top-30 and ties women's teams.

RankLocationAverage
1NO. CALIFORNIA / Women's 4.0 - NS4.07
2NO. CALIFORNIA / Women's 4.0 - MP4.06
3NO. CALIFORNIA / Women's 4.0 - RT4.03
4NO. CALIFORNIA / Women's 4.0 - EB4.02
5NO. CALIFORNIA / Women's 4.0 - SB - 14.00
5SOUTHWEST / SOUTHERN ARIZONA4.00
7SOUTHERN / TENNESSEE / TN - NASHVILLE3.99
7EASTERN / SOUTHERN REGION / Westchester/Rockland3.99
9NEW ENGLAND / SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT / Southern CT3.98
9TEXAS / DALLAS3.98
9NO. CALIFORNIA / Women's 4.0 - MP3.98
9SOUTHERN / SOUTH CAROLINA / SC - COLUMBIA-CTL3.98
13MISSOURI VALLEY / HEART OF AMERICA3.97
13SOUTHERN / TENNESSEE / TN - KNOXVILLE3.97
15NO. CALIFORNIA / Women's 4.0 - SF3.96
15SOUTHERN / SOUTH CAROLINA / SC - GREENVILLE-FTA3.96
15EASTERN / NEW JERSEY REGION / North Jersey Day3.96
15FLORIDA / REGION_7 / COLLIER3.96
15SO. CALIFORNIA / SO.CALIFORNIA / BEACH CITIES3.96
15NO. CALIFORNIA / Women's 4.0 - DN - 13.96
15MID ATLANTIC / WASHINGTON D.C.3.96
15TEXAS / AUSTIN3.96
15SO. CALIFORNIA / SO.CALIFORNIA / BEACH CITIES3.96
24FLORIDA / REGION_4 / ORANGE/SEMINOLE3.95
24SO. CALIFORNIA / SAN DIEGO3.95
24SO. CALIFORNIA / SO.CALIFORNIA / LOS ANGELES3.95
24NO. CALIFORNIA / Women's 4.0 - LP3.95
24SOUTHERN / GEORGIA / GA - ATLANTA - 20173.95
24NO. CALIFORNIA / Women's 4.0 - SF3.95
24NO. CALIFORNIA / Women's 4.0 - MA3.95
24NO. CALIFORNIA / Women's 4.0 - MB3.95
24FLORIDA / REGION_3 / HILLSBOROUGH3.95
24NO. CALIFORNIA / Women's 4.0 - EB3.95

What do you think?


Sunday, June 4, 2017

An update on 2017 USTA League Nationals - A few date changes, Mobile gets two more events, 18+ 4.5 now in Orlando

I wrote about some changes for 2017 USTA League Nationals several months ago, the big change being the location change for many divisions and levels to Florida and specifically the new USTA Nationals Campus.  I did list the draft schedule at that time and it appears it is changed slightly, so here is a summary of what is listed on the USTA site.  I've bolded what has changed from the earlier summary.

Adult 18 & over

DateLevelLocationSurface
Oct. 6-83.5Surprise, AZHard
Oct. 6-85.0+Orlando, FLHard
Oct. 13-154.0Surprise, AZHard
Oct. 20-222.5WMobile, ALHard
Oct. 20-223.0Surprise, AZHard
Nov. 10-124.5Orlando, FLHard

Adult 40 & over

DateLevelLocationSurface
Oct. 13-153.0Ft. Lauderdale, FLClay
Oct. 20-224.0Orlando, FLHard
Oct. 20-224.5+Mobile, ALHard
Oct. 27-293.5Ft. Lauderdale, FLClay

Adult 55 & over

DateLevelLocationSurface
Oct. 27-296.0 & 8.0Orlando, FLClay
Nov. 17-197.0 & 9.0Orlando, FLClay

Mixed

DateLevelLocationSurface
Nov. 3-518 & over 6.0-10.0Mobile, ALHard
Nov. 10-1240 & over 6.0-9.0Mobile, ALHard

The changes appear to be a few events moving from Orlando to Mobile, and the 18+ 4.5s moving from Mobile to Orlando, and a few date changes for those events that have moved.

Note, the current schedule doesn't list the surface, so I've left those as before, and since none of the clay events had changes, I assume that is still accurate.

Summer is almost here, time for the Summer USTA Leagues

Summer officially starts later this month, but with the passing of Memorial Day, it is effectively upon us and that means it is time for some Summer tennis.

In Seattle where I am, our main leagues are primarily played between October and May and are indoor leagues.  But this time of year we do have a few leagues that are played outdoors (or can be optionally) including our One Doubles league and our 40 & over Mixed league.  I had a chance to play a couple One Doubles matches outdoors this weekend, and while the results weren't what we had hoped, we had a lot of fun.  And my 40+ Mixed team starts play next weekend, although we will be mostly indoors for that league.

In many other areas, the main 18+ and 40+ advancing leagues have been mostly played by now as they were Winter or Spring leagues, and they are wrapping up or getting ready for Districts or States shortly.  These areas may have Singles, Tri-Level, or Combo leagues to be played during the Summer.  But some areas are just getting going with their 18+ and 40+ leagues and will be busy getting those matches in as they work towards their playoffs, Districts, and Sectionals.

Now in some sections, these auxiliary leagues count towards year-end ratings, while in others, player's are now done with matches that will be included in calculating their rating.  In either case, now can be a great time to considering getting an Estimated Dynamic NTRP Rating Report to see how you've done so far and/or get a great idea on where you are likely to end up at year-end.

If you are still playing, or are fortunate enough to be headed to playoffs, Districts, or States, you may also want to consider team or flight reports as they can be a great way to prepare for playoffs and scout opponents so you can plan your line-ups to give your team the best chance of advancing.

Regardless of where your season is though, get out and play some tennis!

Note: I was reminded that Atlanta has a Summer league, ... that is an early start league for 2018!  Yes, in May of 2017, they are already playing matches to make playoff that can advance to Nationals 18 months in the future.

Tuesday, May 16, 2017

2017 18 & over Georgia State Championships - What is common about the winners?

The 18 & over State Championships in Georgia were held the past few weekends and in light of my commenting on the effect of the demise of early start ratings and the confusion that could ensue as a result, I thought it would be interesting to take a look and how things played out given that Georgia has a lot of early start leagues and teams.

As a reminder, the issue is that with no more early start ratings, players play in early start leagues using their current rating, e.g. folks used their 2015 year-end level instead of an early start level for early start leagues last year.  The other change is that USTA National decided that players that were bumped up at year-end would not be eligible to play at Nationals.

Each section gets to choose at what point those bumped up players become ineligible through Sectionals though, and Southern decided to let those players remain eligible through Sectionals.  This means that a team could win Southern Sectionals and have a number of players on the roster that help the team win that would not be eligible to play at Nationals.  This effectively means a different team makes the Nationals trip, likely not as strong/deep as another team that would have a full roster of eligible players.

So we can now start to take a look at if what I predicted is indeed happening.  Here is the make-up of the teams that won 18+ Georgia States.

Women:

  • 2.5 - 6 players at level and 4 that were bumped up, if this team wins Sectionals, they'd only have 6 eligible and 5 are required to play a match, so barely enough.
  • 3.0 -  7 players at level, 4 that were bumped up, and 1 playing up, so with one playing up, the bare minimum of 8 required just to fill the courts for a match.
  • 3.5 - 3 playing up, 11 at level, and just 1 bumped up, so a fairly complete roster should they advance to Nationals.
  • 4.0 - 1 playing up, 10 at level, and a full 5 that were bumped up.  These 5 bumped up all played in the State final so having just 3 players from their preferred line-up is really a different team.
  • 4.5 - 14 at level and 3 bumped up.

So every women's team would be affected if they went to Nationals, several significantly impacted.

The men are a bit different:

  • 3.0 - 9 at level and 3 bumped up
  • 3.5 - 14 at level and 3 bumped up
  • 4.0 - 11 at level
  • 4.5 - Roster full of self-rates except for one player

The men are not impacted as much, but still losing 3 of your best players is pretty significant.

Now, for the issue to crop up, the teams above have to win Sectionals, and that is certainly not a given.  But having above level players on the roster certainly gives them an advantage over other teams that were not early start league teams and have to have only players at level.  Of course, a few other states in Southern have early start leagues so could be bringing similarly stacked teams.

I will continue to monitor, so stay tuned.

Tuesday, April 25, 2017

Previewing a couple levels of the 2017 NorCal USTA League 40 & Over Districts

I wrote yesterday about the upcoming NorCal 40 & over Districts, and remarked that a few levels had a remarkable number of flights/teams.  Specifically, the 3.5 women has seven flights (28 teams!) and the 4.0 men has six flights (24 teams!).

With that many flights, it gets interesting on how to advance teams to Sectionals.  It appears the women will take the seven flight winners plus one wildcard, and the men will take the six flight winners and two wildcards.  Sectionals will then be two flights of four teams each, the flight winners playing a final.

In any case, with 28 and 24 teams respectively, you might expect to see teams of varying strength, so I thought I'd go about doing a preview using my top-8 averages for each roster using what is included in my flight preview reports.  To not give all the details away, I won't list team names, but will list the top-8 averages for each team and the flight the team is in.
Here are the 3.5 women.

RankSub-FlightAverage
1Flight 23.53
2Flight 33.50
3Flight 33.49
4Flight 43.48
4Flight 73.48
4Flight 53.48
7Flight 33.47
7Flight 13.47
9Flight 23.46
10Flight 73.45
11Flight 13.44
12Flight 43.43
13Flight 63.42
14Flight 53.41
15Flight 73.40
15Flight 63.40
15Flight 63.40
15Flight 43.40
19Flight 53.39
19Flight 43.39
21Flight 13.38
21Flight 23.38
23Flight 33.37
23Flight 13.37
25Flight 53.36
25Flight 63.36
27Flight 73.35
28Flight 23.33

We see what is quite honestly a huge range for teams at Districts, a full 0.2 is required to cover the top to bottom teams.  And these are averages of the top-8 mind you, so while the top-12 are covered by just 0.1, but it appears quite a few teams are there that, on paper at least, will be pretty severe underdogs.

And I have no idea how they distributed teams to flights, but there are a couple that stand out as stronger or weaker.  Flight 3's best three teams are all in the top-7, the best two are #2 and #3, all with top-8 averages higher than the best from flights 1 and 6.  A couple pretty good teams won't be making it to Sectionals, although there is a wildcard open, but if they beat up on each other, the second place team may not make it.

At the other end, flight 6 has no team rated higher than 13th.  Of course, now that I've pointed this out, watch the flight 6 winner go to Sectionals and win it all!

Moving on to the 4.0 men, here is what their top-8 averages look like.

RankSub-FlightAverage
1Flight 24.02
2Flight 34.00
2Flight 24.00
4Flight 53.99
5Flight 43.97
6Flight 23.96
6Flight 63.96
6Flight 43.96
9Flight 33.94
9Flight 53.94
11Flight 53.93
12Flight 43.91
12Flight 13.91
12Flight 63.91
15Flight 13.90
15Flight 33.90
17Flight 63.89
17Flight 53.89
17Flight 13.89
20Flight 63.87
20Flight 33.87
22Flight 43.86
23Flight 23.84
24Flight 13.78

The range here is a full 0.24, the lowest rated team has a top-8 average that is well, right about average, for 4.0s as a whole.  The top-8 are all within 0.06 of each other though, and two more just 0.02 back, so there are still a good group of good teams.

But like for the women, there is a very tough flight, that being flight 2 with the #1, #2, and #6 teams in the flight.  Flight 1 appears to be the easier flight here with no team higher than #12.


You might wonder how accurate these previews are at predicting who advances and that is an excellent question.  As we know, in sports, it isn't always the "better" or most accomplished team on paper that wins, and in tennis a lot depends on who shows up, what the match-ups are, and just how players play on a given day.

But last year, the 3.5 women had the #1 team from flight 1 move on, #1 from flight 2, #2 from flight 3, #1 from flight 4, #4 from flight 5, #2 from flight 6, and #2 from flight 7.  So five of the seven had the #1 or #2 team advance.

And the 4.0 men had flight 1 tightly bunched with the #3 team (just hundredths behind #1) moving on, flight 2 had the top team advance, flight 3 saw a close #3 advance, flight 4 had #2 move on, flight 5 had #1 advance, and flight 6 also had the top team move on.  So three of the six flights had the top-team, and one had a #2 team.

So these averages aren't perfect, but they are a pretty good predictor of who will advance.

What do you think?

If you are interested in knowing the actual teams in each spot above, or are on a team and want to get a flight report to scout your opponents and see where your team compares, or a team report to better plan your line-ups, contact me.