Wednesday, September 2, 2009

2009 Week 1 College Football Predictions

Here are my computer's predictions for week 1 of the college football season.

Keep in mind that these predictions are based on the ratings as of the end of last year, so really should be used for entertainment purposes only as each team has likely changed significantly in one way or the other.  The predictions do actually get reasonably accurate after a few weeks though so stay tuned.

As a reminder, last year, the predictions went 332-271-10 against the spread and the best picks were 51-25-1.  If you are interested in more info on the picks, leave a comment!  But I'll likely post a blog entry explaining things a bit in a week or two as the ratings become more meaningful.

FavoriteMarginUnderdog
FavoriteMarginUnderdog
Missouri12.1Illinois
Michigan0.5Western Michigan
Rice8.3Alabama-Birmingham
Texas A&M1.7New Mexico
California8.6Maryland
Ohio State14.3Navy
Notre Dame4.6Nevada
Tennessee22.3Western Kentucky
Wisconsin9.2Northern Illinois
Buffalo0.1UTEP
Ball St25.1North Texas
UCLA10.0San Diego St
Colorado3.7Colorado St
Texas34.3Louisiana-Monroe
Auburn7.5Louisiana Tech
Connecticut9.0Ohio U.
Troy1.0Bowling Green
Nebraska18.1Florida Atlantic
New Mexico St8.4Idaho
Eastern Michigan0.5Army
Wake Forest6.4Baylor
Oklahoma18.0Brigham Young
Stanford11.6Washington St
Utah24.5Utah St
Florida St8.3Miami FL
Minnesota4.0Syracuse
Arizona16.4Central Michigan
North Carolina St1.1South Carolina
Southern Cal31.7San Jose St
Tulsa17.0Tulane
Alabama5.3Virginia Tech
Oklahoma St3.9Georgia
Penn State26.1Akron
Kentucky15.9Miami OH
Mississippi15.9Memphis
Rutgers4.4Cincinnati
Clemson20.5Middle Tennessee St
Purdue11.5Toledo
Boise St4.5Oregon
LSU16.8Washington

Updated 9/30: Corrected transcription errors.

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