Wednesday, September 16, 2009

2009 Week 3 College Football Predictions

Here are my computer's predictions for week 3 of the college football season.  These also appear, and the current predictions always will, at http://sites.google.com/site/computerratings/ncaa-football/ncaa-predictions.  And see http://sites.google.com/site/computerratings/ncaa-football/ncaa-prediction-performance for the historical performance of the picks.

These predictions are based on the week 2 ratings so there are 2 games for many team so they should begin to get a little more accurate.  A blog post with commentary on the interesting games should come tomorrow.

FavoriteMarginUnderdog
FavoriteMarginUnderdog
Kentucky22.5Louisville
LSU15.6Louisiana-Lafayette
Kansas11.7Duke
Southern Miss4.6Virginia
Colorado St6.8Nevada
Stanford8.5San Jose St
Texas A&M10.2Utah St
Wyoming3.0Colorado
North Carolina15.6East Carolina
Alabama29.2North Texas
Air Force7.4New Mexico
Mississippi28.6SE Louisiana St
Penn State22.1Temple
Rutgers5.8Florida Int'l
Syracuse2.3Northwestern
Western Michigan10.9Miami OH
Bowling Green10.2Marshall
Oklahoma St23.2Rice
Texas9.5Texas Tech
Arizona St12.5Louisiana-Monroe
TCU29.2Texas St-San Marcos
Cincinnati4.4Oregon St
Buffalo2.0Central Florida
Virginia Tech0.6Nebraska
Cal Poly SLO0.8Ohio U.
North Carolina St21.7Gardner-Webb
Central Arkansas6.6Western Kentucky
Notre Dame7.2Michigan St
Wisconsin12.7Wofford
Missouri26.5Furman
Florida24.9Tennessee
Michigan19.4Eastern Michigan
Akron9.0Indiana
Utah0.1Oregon
Oklahoma11.1Tulsa
Baylor6.0Connecticut
Central Michigan35.1Alcorn St
Kent St0.8Iowa St
Wake Forest18.0Elon
Boise St10.5Fresno St
Georgia1.4Arkansas
Purdue9.2Northern Illinois
Memphis14.2Tennessee-Martin
Vanderbilt10.8Mississippi St
Auburn4.2West Virginia
South Carolina17.7Florida Atlantic
UCLA8.6Kansas St
Ohio State18.0.Toledo
Iowa2.7Arizona
Clemson4.6Boston College
Southern Cal22.5Washington
Brigham Young10.2Florida St
UTEP10.3New Mexico St
Army5.8Ball St
Louisiana Tech20.3Nicholls St
California11.6Minnesota
Maryland8.2Middle Tennessee St
Miami FL3.4Georgia Tech
Troy5.1Alabama-Birmingham
South Florida32.4Charleston Southern
SMU5.4Washington St
Pittsburgh7.9Navy
San Diego St2.5Idaho

Updated 9/30: Corrected transcription errors.