After 2 weeks the computer is doing quite well going 30-17-1 against the spread and 32-16 straight up beating Vegas' 31-16 straight up.
The computer is picking 3 upsets this week, Jacksonville over Tennessee, Baltimore over New England, and Denver over Dallas. Last week the 1 upset missed due in part to Seattle's injuries that the computer cannot take into account. But all 3 upsets are based on the results this year while the Vegas line is based more on expectations that Tennessee is not an 0-3 team, New England is still New England, and Denver's 3-0 is a bit of a fraud. This is what makes it interesting!
| Favorite | Margin | Underdog |
|---|---|---|
| Favorite | Margin | Underdog |
| Denver | 6.3 | Dallas |
| Houston | 3.9 | Oakland |
| Jacksonville | 2.5 | Tennessee |
| Minnesota | 10.2 | Green Bay |
| San Francisco | 21.2 | St Louis |
| Pittsburgh | 2.3 | San Diego |
| New Orleans | 9.3 | NY Jets |
| Buffalo | 3.2 | Miami |
| NY Giants | 10.9 | Kansas City |
| Baltimore | 0.8 | New England |
| Washington | 6.1 | Tampa Bay |
| Cincinnati | 6.2 | Cleveland |
| Chicago | 9.2 | Detroit |
| Indianapolis | 10.4 | Seattle |
Updated Noon PDT 9/30: Fixed transcription errors in picks.
Steve, can you explain your format? You have Denver as favorite at 6.3 when Denver is a 3 point underdog. Do you mean that Denver is going to win outright by 6.3 points? Houston is a 9 1/2 point favorite so are you saying Houston is only going to win by 3.9?
ReplyDeleteIf you could shoot me an e-mail I would really appreciate it. I'm really curious
Thank Pete
pestep@enbs.com
Sorry I meant Kevin
ReplyDelete