Tuesday, September 29, 2009

2009 Week 5 College Football Predictions

Here are my computer's predictions for week 5 of the college football season.  These also appear, and the current predictions always will, at http://sites.google.com/site/computerratings/ncaa-football/ncaa-predictions.  And see http://sites.google.com/site/computerratings/ncaa-football/ncaa-prediction-performance for the historical performance of the picks.

These predictions are based on the week 4 ratings so there are 4 games for many teams and as we saw from last weeks performance, they have gotten more accurate.  A blog post with commentary on the interesting games should come later this week.

Favorite Margin Underdog
Favorite Margin Underdog
South Florida 24.3 Syracuse
South Carolina 29.9 South Carolina St
Marshall 9.5 East Carolina
Wisconsin 3.7 Minnesota
Purdue 16.0 Northwestern
Ohio State 9.3 Indiana
Brigham Young 13.8 Utah St
Hawaii 3.4 Louisiana Tech
Iowa 28.4 Arkansas St
Idaho 2.4 Colorado St
Temple 11.4 Eastern Michigan
Notre Dame 6.0 Washington
Bowling Green 8.0 Ohio U.
West Virginia 12.3 Colorado
Toledo 10.7 Ball St
Auburn 5.1 Tennessee
Cincinnati 33.4 Miami OH
Northern Illinois 10.7 Western Michigan
Alabama 21.4 Kentucky
Penn State 11.3 Illinois
Miami FL 1.0 Oklahoma
LSU 0.2 Georgia
Boise St 38.9 UC-Davis
San Diego St 14.2 New Mexico St
Virginia Tech 20.7 Duke
Oregon 29.5 Washington St
Arizona St 7.5 Oregon St
California 1.1 Southern Cal
Navy 7.6 Air Force
Central Florida 5.7 Memphis
Houston 18.7 UTEP
Clemson 16.2 Maryland
Wake Forest 1.8 North Carolina St
Central Michigan 10.5 Buffalo
Texas A&M 2.2 Arkansas
Michigan St 2.5 Michigan
North Carolina 12.3 Virginia
Army 4.1 Tulane
Tulsa 17.3 Rice
Iowa St 4.8 Kansas St
Mississippi 10.8 Vanderbilt
Pittsburgh 8.0 Louisville
Georgia Tech 5.4 Mississippi St
Louisiana-Monroe 5.8 Florida Int'l
Florida St 5.3 Boston College
Stanford 6.1 UCLA
Texas Tech 35.1 New Mexico
TCU 27.8 SMU
Florida Atlantic 3.1 Wyoming

Updated 9/30: Fixed transcription errors in some picks.