Thursday, September 24, 2009

2009 Week 4 College Football Predictions

qHere are my computer's predictions for week 4 of the college football season.  These also appear, and the current predictions always will, at http://sites.google.com/site/computerratings/ncaa-football/ncaa-predictions.  And see http://sites.google.com/site/computerratings/ncaa-football/ncaa-prediction-performance for the historical performance of the picks.

These predictions are based on the week 3 ratings so there are 3 games for many teams so they should be getting a little more accurate.  With some of the upsets and results last week though, some teams may be out to prove something.  A blog post with commentary on the interesting games should come later today.

FavoriteMarginUnderdog
FavoriteMarginUnderdog
Texas26.3UTEP
Syracuse14.4Maine
Southern Cal29.1Washington St
Tennessee6.3Ohio U.
Auburn25.4Ball St
East Carolina4.5Central Florida
Michigan13.0Indiana
Oklahoma St27.1Grambling St
Connecticut30.5Rhode Island
LSU6.3Mississippi St
Penn State3.7Iowa
Pittsburgh8.9North Carolina St
Purdue0.7Notre Dame
Minnesota3.4Northwestern
Baylor31.4Northwestern St
Western Michigan11.7Hofstra
Brigham Young9.2Colorado St
Houston7.3Texas Tech
Utah St12.7Southern Utah
Missouri15.5Nevada
Tulsa25.4Sam Houston St
Middle Tennessee St1.6North Texas
Florida13.3Kentucky
Marshall3.6Memphis
Iowa St7.2Army
Nebraska21.6Louisiana-Lafayette
Florida Int'l3.3Toledo
Alabama21.7Arkansas
Kansas St27.4Tennessee Tech
Boise St13.1Bowling Green
Maryland1.4Rutgers
Oregon St0.2Arizona
Georgia6.9Arizona St
Wisconsin7.0Michigan St
Kansas18.6Southern Miss
Texas A&M10.3Alabama-Birmingham
Vanderbilt3.0Rice
San Jose St1.5Cal Poly SLO
Temple1.0Buffalo
California3.9Oregon
Florida St11.3South Florida
Stanford4.5Washington
Boston College0.6Wake Forest
Georgia Tech0.5North Carolina
Ohio State16.9Illinois
Kent St8.9Miami OH
Mississippi1.6South Carolina
Utah13.5Louisville
McNeese St2.6Tulane
Miami FL1.1Virginia Tech
Northern Illinois15.6Idaho
Florida Atlantic6.0Louisiana-Monroe
Clemson1.8TCU
Navy28.9Western Kentucky
Arkansas St0.3Troy
Air Force14.8San Diego St
Cincinnati15.6Fresno St
Duke37.6North Carolina Central
Central Michigan16.8Akron
New Mexico9.2New Mexico St

Updated 9/30: Corrected transcription errors.