Thoughts On The First BCS Rankings

The first BCS rankings came out today and naturally the first thing I did was compare them with my computer's rankings.

First, just looking at the BCS rankings themselves the top-5 isn't terribly out of whack with the same teams in both the BCS and my computer's top-5, just in a different order.  After that, there is not nearly as much agreement.  See below for a full table.

Overrated

My computer says Iowa is way overrated at #6 in the BCS as the computer has them #12.  LSU is also overrated at #9 being #16 in the computer.  Penn State too is overrated at #13, the computer having them #23.  The largest overrating however is Oklahoma State at #15 when the computer says they are #40.  Yes they are 5-1, but they haven't played anyone ranked above #39 (Houston) and haven't beaten anyone above #46 (Georgia).  BYU is nearly as bad at #16 while the computer has them #33.  And Houston is also nearly as bad as Oklahoma State at #17 while the computer has them #39.  Also Ohio State at #19 while the computer has them #24.  Going farther down the list just reveals more "mistakes".

Is my computer way off on these?  Comparing with the BCS computers, there is some agreement on the overrated teams (Penn State a bit, Oklahoma State and BYU yes, and Ohio State more so than my computer!) but not all.  What do you think, does Iowa, LSU, and the others above pass the smell test?

Underrated

So who has been hurt by the overrated teams above?  Virginia Tech is underrated at #14 in the BCS, the computer having them at #7.  The computer still likes Oklahoma (#11) while the BCS doesn't have them ranked.  With 3 losses you'd think they'd be lower but when they are by a total of 5 points to teams with a combined 17-2 record, you can't knock them too much.

What do you think?  The current poll as I write this is for the most overrated in the BCS so vote.

Team	BCS	Schmidt	BCS Computers
Florida	1	3	1
Alabama	2	1	2
Texas	3	5	6
Boise State	4	4	5
Cincinnati	5	2	4
Iowa	6	12	3
USC	7	8	11
TCU	8	9	8
LSU	9	16	7
Miami-Florida	10	14	13
Oregon	11	10	9
Georgia Tech	12	15	10
Penn State	13	23	17
Virginia Tech	14	7	12
Oklahoma State	15	40	21
BYU	16	33	25
Houston	17	39	18
Utah	18	22	14
Ohio State	19	24	32
Pittsburgh	20	35	20
Wisconsin	21	49	14
Arizona	22	17	14
West Virginia	23	36	24
South Carolina	24	31	22
Kansas	25	38	33