Saturday, October 31, 2009

2009 Week 9 Preliminary College Rankings

I don't ordinarily like to post rankings before having all the data, but since all the FBS games are done and I have most of the FCS games and it appears we will have a new #1, I wanted to get at least what will likely be the new top-25 in the computer's rankings posted.  I preface the rankings and comments below with the statement that they are not final and could change a bit, but I doubt much.

Yes, there is a new #1 and it is Florida moving up from #2.  They finally played and won like a #1 team should handling a decent Georgia team, and couple that with prior opponents Arkansas and LSU winning big and prior opponents Tennessee and Troy doing better than expected, they make the move.

Perhaps a bigger surprise is that there is a new #2 in Texas also passing idle Alabama.  They handled a very good Oklahoma State and prior opponent Texas Tech had a better than expected win.

Alabama falls to #3 and while they were idle, they lost ratings points due to prior opponents Virginia Tech, Mississippi, and Kentucky all losing when expected to win.

And with their impressive win over USC, Oregon moves to #4 passing up undefeateds Cincinnati, Boise State, and TCU.  How can Oregon be ahead of Boise State you might ask?  Well, the game was in Boise and very early in the season making it not as bad a result as it otherwise might be, and more importantly Oregon has faced and beat far better competition.

Another notable movers is LSU moving to #9 a week ahead of their visiting Alabama in the game that will most likely decide the SEC West.

The computer also had a very good week going 34-19 against the spread and 40-13 picking winners versus Vegas's 38-15.  The lock of the week, Oregon plus the points over USC also came through.

I'll post the full/official rankings on the web-site soon and will blog again here too.

Rank
Team
Rating
Record
Schedule
Change
Rank
Team
Rating
Record
Schedule
Change
1
Florida
89.293
8-0
71.284
+1, +0.744
2
Texas
88.880
8-0
69.442
+4, +2.449
3
Alabama
88.544
8-0
70.382
-2, -2.176
4
Oregon
87.871
7-1
73.498
+3, +1.867
5
Cincinnati
87.272
8-0
66.489
-2, -0.290
6
Boise St
86.681
8-0
65.391
-2, -0.682
7
TCU
86.331
8-0
68.212
-2, -0.908
8
Oklahoma
82.362
5-3
67.995
+2, -1.492
9
LSU
81.772
7-1
68.888
+4, +0.280
10
Virginia Tech
81.650
5-3
75.502
-2, -3.207
11
Georgia Tech
81.614
8-1
72.896
+1, -0.537
12
Southern Cal
81.535
6-2
74.138
-3, -2.685
13
Clemson
81.287
5-3
70.526
+1, -0.022
14
Iowa
80.781
9-0
70.429
-3, -1.735
15
Penn State
80.234
8-1
64.597
+0, -0.756
16
Pittsburgh
79.637
7-1
67.620
+2, +0.544
17
Tennessee
79.612
4-4
71.421
+7, +1.339
18
Arizona
79.377
5-2
73.214
-2, -1.290
19
Texas Tech
79.183
6-3
66.153
+9, +2.557
20
Miami FL
78.927
6-2
73.599
-3, -1.511
21
California
78.407
6-2
70.921
-2, -0.487
22
Ohio State
77.975
7-2
65.597
-2, -0.667
23
Stanford
77.886
5-3
70.698
-1, -0.559
24
Oklahoma St
77.414
6-2
67.040
-1, -0.909
25
Oregon St
77.399
5-3
71.533
+0, -0.748