Friday, October 9, 2009

2009 Week 6 College Football Preview

With week 6 already started a day earlier than normal, it is time for a preview of some of the interesting games.  Full picks are here.

Last week the computer had a good week overall (29-19-1 against the spread) and in the games I highlighted was nearly perfect having:
  • South Florida correct on win and spread (picked by 24, spread 6.5, won by 14)
  • Notre Dame/Washington correct on both (picked by 6, spread 13.5, won by 7)
  • Auburn/Tennessee correct on both (picked by 5, spread to lose by 1.5, won by 4)
  • Miami/Oklahoma correct on both (picked by 1, spread to lose by 7, won by 1)
  • LSU/Georgia correct on both (picked by 0.2, spread to lose by 3, won by 7)
  • Cal/USC missed on both (picked by 1.1, spread to lose by 5, lost by 27)
It is remarkable how close the Notre Dame, Auburn, and Miami computer picks were.  Anyway, on to this weeks games.

In a game that could determine the Big-Televen (sorry, can't call it "Ten" with 11 teams) champ, undefeated Wisconsin visits 1-loss Ohio State with the home team the Vegas pick by 14, but the computer picking them by 7.2.  Wisconsin has proven able to win close games over good teams, but is yet to be tested against a team ranked higher than 35.

Staying in the Big-Televen, Iowa hosts Michigan and is the Vegas pick by 8 but the computer has them by 14.  It is interesting that the "traditional" powers Michigan and Ohio State are getting the big nod here so perhaps an opportunity to take advantage of that.

Alabama gets their next test going to Ole Miss where they are the Vegas pick by 6.5 but the computer likes them by over 11.  Ole Miss seems to still be getting some of the early season inflation they had before their first loss and the computer says look for them to lose again.

In a game that could have national championship implications, Florida vists LSU but is an 8.5 point Vegas pick and while the computer likes Florida too, the pick is only 3.9.  Should be a great game.

And because I live on the west coast, I have to get a Pac-10 game in, and UCLA hosts Oregon in a game that could have Pac-10 champ implications with Oregon the 6.5 point Vegas pick and the computer liking them too but only by 2.3.  Can UCLA rebound from their first loss to pull the upset?

Enjoy the games!