Monday, October 26, 2009

2009 Week 7 NFL Preliminary Review

Monday night football always sort of ruins getting my NFL ratings and rankings out and publishing a summary of the week.  Do I wait or do I publish early?  Since I'm a tad impatient, here is an early review of the week.

In the marquee game of the day, Minnesota let the computer down and turned the ball over letting Pittsburgh get points off turnovers in what otherwise should have been a closer game and perhaps a Minnesota win like the computer predicted.  Oh well, at least the computer did well in the other games going 9-2 against the spread in the rest of the games.  How did it do that?
  • Buffalo visited Carolina and not only got the pick right of Buffalo plus the points but came through for the computer's outright win pick as well.
  • Atlanta visited Dallas but did not come through giving up some big plays and the computer missed on the spread and upset.
  • Indianapolis blew out St. Louis as expected, win and spread correct.
  • Green Bay played well in blowing out Cleveland, miss on spread but win correct.
  • The computer didn't go so far as to pick the Arizona upset, but did have the game a 2 point game rather than the touchdown-plus line, spread correct.
  • The computer did pick the Cincinnati upset, although not by 35, but spread and win correct.
  • San Francisco couldn't pull out the win for the computer but did cover with the help of the 3.5 point line.
  • New England blew out Tampa Bay as expect, win and spread correct.
  • It didn't look good for much of the game, but New Orleans ended up covering making the computer right on the win and spread.
  • San Diego easily covered, win and spread correct.
  • A 6 point spread wasn't nearly enough as the Jets blew out Oakland, win and spread correct.
You can see the newsletter for the past week here.  Subscribe if you'd like to get this info every Wednesday.

As you'll see in the newsletter, tonight's pick is Philly by 8.9 so if the line is in the 7-7.5 range, Philly is the pick.