Monday, October 12, 2009

2009 Week 5 NFL Ratings/Rankings and Summary

Week 5 of the NFL season is complete and it resulted in some changes in the ratings.  The ratings are below but can always be found at http://sites.google.com/site/computerratings/nfl-football/nfl-ratings.

New Orleans stays #1 but the gap is a bit smaller and to a new #2 in Indianapolis.  Denver, even with the win, gets passed by Indy but stays ahead of #4 Minnesota.  The other undefeated team, the Giants, was actually hurt by having to play Oakland but also by three previous opponents all losing and falls to #11.

The computer did well picking games this week going 10-4 against the spread, but a disappointing 4-4 on best picks even though the one lock was a win.  Full prediction performance here.

Rank
Team
Rating
Record
Schedule
Change
Rank
Team
Rating
Record
Schedule
Change
1
New Orleans
95.579
4-0
80.222
+0, -1.073
2
Indianapolis
90.924
5-0
80.695
+1, +1.497
3
Denver
89.984
5-0
80.321
-1, +0.531
4
Minnesota
87.625
5-0
78.214
+1, -0.386
5
New England
87.279
3-2
84.178
+3, +0.831
6
Cincinnati
87.127
4-1
84.534
+5, +2.903
7
Atlanta
86.368
3-1
81.805
+11, +4.887
8
NY Jets
86.282
3-2
84.014
-4, -2.577
9
Chicago
85.608
3-1
80.924
+3, +1.566
10
Baltimore
85.453
3-2
79.968
-3, -1.412
11
NY Giants
84.592
5-0
73.688
-2, -1.109
12
San Francisco
84.438
3-2
80.860
-6, -3.451
13
Pittsburgh
84.376
3-2
81.160
+0, +1.055
14
Philadelphia
84.274
3-1
75.576
-4, -1.193
15
Green Bay
83.040
2-2
82.401
+2, +1.366
16
Miami
82.518
2-3
83.487
+4, +2.731
17
Arizona
82.306
2-2
81.498
-2, -0.698
18
Dallas
81.788
3-2
78.060
-4, -1.483
19
Seattle
81.754
2-3
81.326
+4, +3.450
20
San Diego
81.058
2-2
80.984
-1, -0.227
21
Jacksonville
79.415
2-3
81.936
-5, -3.500
22
Houston
77.213
2-3
78.215
-1, -2.051
23
Cleveland
76.819
1-4
85.798
+3, +2.475
24
Buffalo
75.803
1-4
81.676
-2, -2.635
25
Detroit
74.527
1-4
84.502
+0, -0.565
26
Tennessee
74.482
0-5
84.242
-2, -2.511
27
Carolina
72.986
1-3
81.188
+2, -0.402
28
Washington
72.321
2-3
74.707
+0, -1.418
29
Oakland
71.591
1-4
81.280
-2, -2.194
30
Kansas City
70.555
0-5
80.939
+0, -1.249
31
St Louis
69.246
0-5
82.436
+1, +0.637
32
Tampa Bay
69.184
0-5
80.356
-1, -1.772

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