Sunday, October 11, 2009

2009 Week 5 NFL Preview

The full predictions each week are at http://sites.google.com/site/computerratings/nfl-football/nfl-predictions but below is a discussion of some of the interesting games.  These games all picked by the current computer ratings here.

The game where my computer differs the most from the Vegas line is the New England (#8) at Denver (#2) game.  Even after Denver was an underdog at home last week, Vegas does it again setting them as 3.5 point dogs.  My computer got it right last week picking Denver by 6.3 (they won by 7) and it is picking them to win again, this time by 6.  Can Denver stay consistent or do they fall off this week?

Vegas continues to give Tennessee more credit than perhaps they deserve.  Even though they are at home, you wouldn't expect an 0-4 team to be only 3 point dogs to a 4-0 team in Indianapolis, but they are.  The computer likes Indy by 9.4.

In a battle of 3-1 teams, Cincinnati visits Baltimore as a 10.5 point underdog.  The computer likes Baltimore too, but by only 5.6.  Cincy's one loss to Denver isn't looking so bad now.

The computer did only go 7-7 against the spread last week but was 4-3 on best picks and an outstanding 3-0 on locks.  If you are interested in additional details on picks against the spread, best picks, and locks, see this where you can subscribe to a weekly newsletter.

Enjoy the games.