Monday, November 30, 2009

2009 Week 12 NFL Ratings/Rankings and Summary

Week 12 of the NFL season is complete and there were remarkably few changes in the ratings.  The ratings are below but can always be found at http://sites.google.com/site/computerratings/nfl-football/nfl-ratings.

And there are still 2.  New Orleans wins easily and Indy has to forge a comeback and both stay undefeated and #1 and #2 in the rankings.  New England stays #3 as they were expected to lose by 6 and lost by 17 which dropped their rating nearly a point, but even with Minnesota improving their rating over a point they didn't quite bridge the gap.  Baltimore, San Diego, and Cincinnati all win and stay in their spots as well.

The computer did ok overall going 8-7-1 against the spread this week and beat Vegas going 14-2 straight up compared to 13-3.  And the best picks against the spread went a great 5-1.  Details of the picks in last weeks newsletter.  Full prediction performance here.

Rank
Team
Rating
Record
Schedule
Change
Rank
Team
Rating
Record
Schedule
Change
1
New Orleans
92.154
11-0
78.691
+0, +0.753
2
Indianapolis
89.790
11-0
81.598
+0, +0.223
3
New England
87.221
7-4
82.355
+0, -0.911
4
Minnesota
86.993
10-1
77.605
+0, +1.109
5
Baltimore
85.715
6-5
82.066
+0, +0.229
6
San Diego
84.943
8-3
79.647
+0, +0.245
7
Cincinnati
84.350
8-3
80.182
+0, -0.188
8
Pittsburgh
84.331
6-5
80.975
+1, +0.247
9
Dallas
83.895
8-3
78.528
+2, +0.101
10
Arizona
83.555
7-4
80.169
+0, -0.493
11
Denver
82.634
7-4
81.551
+7, +1.351
12
Houston
82.584
5-6
82.141
+0, -0.169
13
Philadelphia
82.317
6-5
79.472
-5, -1.876
14
Green Bay
81.982
7-4
78.106
+5, +0.748
15
Tennessee
81.917
5-6
82.975
+2, +0.320
16
San Francisco
81.916
5-6
81.099
+4, +1.029
17
NY Jets
81.892
5-6
81.774
-1, +0.003
18
Atlanta
81.806
6-5
81.478
-5, -0.889
19
Miami
80.860
5-6
82.985
-5, -1.723
20
NY Giants
80.590
6-5
81.471
-5, -1.490
21
Buffalo
78.624
4-7
81.330
+3, +1.564
22
Jacksonville
78.615
6-5
80.967
-1, -0.753
23
Carolina
78.265
4-7
81.979
-1, -0.747
24
Chicago
78.234
4-7
80.941
-1, -0.637
25
Seattle
77.335
4-7
80.385
+1, +0.671
26
Washington
77.238
4-7
78.879
+1, +1.624
27
Kansas City
75.828
3-8
81.269
-2, -0.869
28
Tampa Bay
74.622
1-10
82.268
+1, +0.456
29
Oakland
74.188
3-8
81.528
-1, -0.617
30
Cleveland
72.644
1-10
82.914
+1, +0.885
31
St Louis
72.279
1-10
81.276
-1, -0.505
32
Detroit
70.120
2-9
80.833
+0, +0.011