Monday, November 16, 2009

2009 Week 10 NFL Ratings/Rankings and Summary

Week 10 of the NFL season is complete and it resulted in a few changes in the ratings.  The ratings are below but can always be found at http://sites.google.com/site/computerratings/nfl-football/nfl-ratings.

And there are still 2.  New Orleans and Indy both win narrowly, Indy more narrowly than most, and stay undefeated and #1 and #2 in the rankings.  New England stays #3 even with the loss and there is a new #4 in Cincinnati replacing Pittsburgh who drops to #6.  Baltimore fits in at #5 even with a 5-4 record due to the losses being very close and/or on the road.  Minnesota, Arizona, and Dallas finally represent the NFC behind New Orleans at #7 thru #9.

The computer is having alternate good and bad weeks this week not being so good at 5-9-1 after last weeks 8-5 against the spread.  Even with that poor record, it did well picking winners going 9-6 against Vegas' 8-7.  For the year the computer is still doing very well at 82-59-3 against the spread.  Details of the picks in last weeks newsletter.  Full prediction performance here.

Rank
Team
Rating
Record
Schedule
Change
Rank
Team
Rating
Record
Schedule
Change
1
New Orleans
91.065
9-0
78.527
+0, -2.746
2
Indianapolis
89.273
9-0
80.762
+0, +0.144
3
New England
87.433
6-3
81.122
+0, -0.790
4
Cincinnati
87.140
7-2
82.525
+3, +1.005
5
Baltimore
86.324
5-4
81.737
+1, -0.078
6
Pittsburgh
85.999
6-3
80.712
-2, -1.385
7
Minnesota
85.838
8-1
78.435
+2, +0.723
8
Arizona
84.621
6-3
80.843
+6, +0.753
9
Dallas
84.559
6-3
79.959
-4, -2.130
10
Houston
83.966
5-4
81.912
+2, -0.045
11
Atlanta
83.033
5-4
82.575
-1, -2.067
12
Philadelphia
82.967
5-4
78.942
+1, -1.041
13
Denver
82.894
6-3
81.817
-5, -3.025
14
San Diego
82.383
6-3
79.602
+2, -0.199
15
NY Jets
81.827
4-5
81.288
-4, -2.691
16
San Francisco
81.762
4-5
81.692
+1, +0.559
17
Green Bay
81.363
5-4
78.891
+5, +2.558
18
Miami
81.272
4-5
82.717
-3, -2.477
19
NY Giants
80.870
5-4
80.381
-1, -0.226
20
Tennessee
80.869
3-6
83.227
+0, +1.701
21
Chicago
80.132
4-5
80.847
-2, +0.381
22
Carolina
79.768
4-5
81.923
+1, +1.081
23
Jacksonville
79.434
5-4
81.031
+1, +2.387
24
Seattle
77.691
3-6
80.500
+1, +0.782
25
Buffalo
76.915
3-6
81.735
-4, -2.198
26
Washington
74.419
3-6
77.519
+4, +3.545
27
Kansas City
74.354
2-7
79.855
+0, +1.356
28
Tampa Bay
73.693
1-8
81.063
+1, +1.225
29
St Louis
72.806
1-8
81.570
+2, +2.650
30
Cleveland
72.724
1-8
83.992
-2, -0.197
31
Oakland
72.369
2-7
80.333
-5, -1.990
32
Detroit
70.288
1-8
82.017
+0, +1.932

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