2009 Week 12 College Football Ratings/Rankings and Summary

Ratings through week 12 (games played thru 21-Nov).  These are also at http://sites.google.com/site/computerratings/ncaa-football/ncaa-ratings.

Alabama remains #1, in fact increasing their margin over #2 Texas by just over half a ratings point making it right at 1 point now.  Behind them Florida and TCU swap places but are still in a virtual tie just a point and a half behind Texas.  It is interesting to note that in comparing Texas and TCU, they've now played a common opponent, Wyoming, both at Wyoming, with TCU winning by 35 and Texas by 31.  The computer doesn't single out specific games like this but looks at the entire season, but still interesting to see how close they are.

Behind the top teams there isn't much movement until #11 where Arkansas moves up 6 spots to #11 replacing OU who drops 4 to #16.  Texas Tech was the reason OU dropped and they leap 12 spots to #12.  Stanford also drops 4 spots after their loss to #16.

I have added 3 championship games to the schedule for projecting games and that means only 5 are projected to finish undefeated with Alabama beating Florida.

The computer had a good week against the spread going 28-23-1 and had a push with Vegas going 40-12 picking winners.  Full prediction performance here and if you are interested in a newsletter with additional details on picks against the spread, best picks, and locks, see this.

Rank	Team	Rating	Record	Schedule	Change
Rank	Team	Rating	Record	Schedule	Change
1	Alabama	89.158	11-0	68.684	+0, +0.119
2	Texas	88.119	11-0	67.892	+0, -0.490
3	Florida	86.644	11-0	67.766	+1, -0.130
4	TCU	86.551	11-0	67.033	-1, -0.488
5	Oregon	82.829	9-2	72.343	+0, -0.567
6	Cincinnati	82.579	10-0	66.504	+0, -0.699
7	Virginia Tech	82.514	8-3	73.320	+1, +0.097
8	Boise St	82.461	11-0	63.140	-1, -0.277
9	Georgia Tech	81.691	10-1	72.457	+1, -0.191
10	Clemson	81.399	8-3	69.505	-1, -0.892
11	Arkansas	79.961	7-4	70.400	+6, +1.220
12	Texas Tech	79.472	7-4	67.975	+12, +2.820
13	LSU	79.300	8-3	70.532	+0, -0.381
14	Miami FL	79.102	8-3	72.198	+1, -0.016
15	Oklahoma	78.843	6-5	70.327	-4, -2.506
16	Stanford	78.755	7-4	70.893	-4, -2.290
17	Oregon St	78.673	8-3	69.196	-3, -0.738
18	Pittsburgh	78.456	9-1	66.692	-2, -0.646
19	Ohio State	78.404	10-2	66.247	-1, -0.161
20	Mississippi	78.044	8-3	68.091	+0, +0.133
21	Nebraska	77.370	8-3	67.531	+0, -0.367
22	Penn State	77.269	10-2	64.755	+5, +1.625
23	Oklahoma St	77.181	9-2	67.191	-4, -1.102
24	North Carolina	77.100	8-3	69.718	+6, +1.652
25	Arizona	76.853	6-4	71.248	-2, -0.430
26	Southern Cal	76.514	7-3	72.110	-4, -0.787
27	California	76.460	8-3	71.057	+4, +1.091
28	Iowa	75.415	10-2	67.883	+0, -0.226
29	Auburn	75.316	7-4	69.999	+3, +0.080
30	Tennessee	75.312	6-5	68.729	-1, -0.311
31	Connecticut	74.722	5-5	69.998	+2, -0.339
32	Utah	74.574	9-2	65.028	+3, +0.096
33	West Virginia	74.536	7-3	68.670	+3, +0.235
34	Brigham Young	74.460	9-2	65.716	+3, +0.820
35	Florida St	73.664	6-5	72.303	-1, -1.286
36	Kentucky	73.379	7-4	67.796	+10, +1.238
37	Boston College	73.335	7-4	69.157	-11, -2.481
38	Missouri	72.573	7-4	68.779	+3, -0.074
39	Houston	72.406	9-2	63.716	+11, +0.522
40	Georgia	72.265	6-5	71.938	-2, -1.319
41	Navy	72.239	8-3	65.969	+2, -0.233
42	UCLA	72.206	6-5	71.641	+5, +0.110
43	Texas A&M	71.980	6-5	68.283	+11, +1.475
44	South Florida	71.905	7-3	65.221	-2, -0.596
45	Notre Dame	71.810	6-5	68.952	-5, -1.049
46	Central Michigan	71.655	9-2	60.312	-1, -0.570
47	Rutgers	71.542	7-3	61.021	-22, -4.419
48	Air Force	71.437	7-5	64.345	-9, -1.684
49	Mississippi St	71.330	4-7	72.300	-1, -0.676
50	Wisconsin	71.275	8-3	65.990	-6, -0.951
51	South Carolina	71.243	6-5	72.116	+0, -0.021
52	Wake Forest	71.116	4-7	71.857	-3, -0.873
53	East Carolina	70.441	7-4	66.988	+5, +0.879
54	Nevada	70.395	8-3	62.496	-1, -0.347
55	Washington	69.711	3-7	74.866	+0, -0.784
56	Michigan St	69.622	6-6	67.122	-4, -1.370
57	Temple	69.402	9-2	59.831	+7, +1.307
58	Arizona St	69.049	4-7	69.103	-2, -1.188
59	Virginia	68.792	3-8	73.402	+0, -0.139
60	Fresno St	68.786	7-4	65.306	-3, -1.010
61	Kansas	68.273	5-6	69.301	+1, +0.001
62	Minnesota	68.157	6-6	69.940	+1, +0.004
63	Southern Miss	68.098	7-4	61.784	+3, +0.128
64	Duke	68.070	5-6	68.356	-4, -0.345
65	Central Florida	67.729	7-4	64.895	+5, +0.897
66	Troy	67.560	8-3	62.207	+3, +0.617
67	Iowa St	67.473	6-6	66.717	-2, -0.526
68	Kansas St	67.336	6-6	67.452	+0, +0.271
69	Marshall	66.951	6-5	66.564	-2, -0.335
70	Purdue	66.850	5-7	67.806	+3, +0.896
71	Northwestern	66.691	8-4	62.983	+1, +0.716
72	Baylor	66.076	4-7	70.408	-11, -2.280
73	Syracuse	65.940	4-7	68.327	+14, +3.005
74	Louisiana Tech	65.687	3-8	66.948	+2, +0.446
75	North Carolina St	65.455	4-7	67.113	-4, -0.875
76	Bowling Green	65.343	6-5	64.559	-1, -0.181
77	Middle Tennessee St	65.238	8-3	59.486	+0, +0.454
78	SMU	64.966	6-5	65.532	+0, +0.221
79	Northern Illinois	64.703	7-4	57.096	-5, -1.118
80	Ohio U.	64.502	8-3	60.779	-1, -0.000
81	Louisville	64.323	4-7	68.705	+0, +0.159
82	Maryland	63.842	2-9	71.257	+1, +0.229
83	Alabama-Birmingham	63.768	5-6	65.688	-3, -0.550
84	Michigan	63.296	5-7	64.157	+0, -0.256
85	Colorado	63.215	3-8	70.017	+6, +1.207
86	Illinois	63.085	3-7	67.487	+0, -0.066
87	Idaho	62.667	7-4	64.588	-2, -0.565
88	Tulsa	62.465	4-7	63.826	+1, +0.038
89	UNLV	62.460	4-7	67.220	-1, -0.136
90	Wyoming	62.258	5-6	68.335	+0, +0.199
91	Indiana	62.190	4-8	66.043	-9, -1.660
92	Vanderbilt	62.013	2-10	70.289	+0, +0.216
93	Buffalo	61.835	4-7	62.387	+5, +1.183
94	Utah St	61.481	3-8	66.478	-1, -0.212
95	Hawaii	61.009	5-6	62.374	+2, +0.139
96	San Diego St	60.737	4-7	65.285	-2, -0.819
97	Colorado St	59.845	3-8	67.682	-1, -1.095
98	Western Michigan	59.499	5-6	61.301	+1, -0.650
99	Kent St	59.453	5-6	60.578	-4, -1.747
100	UTEP	58.744	3-8	63.349	+2, -0.507
101	Louisiana-Monroe	58.443	6-5	60.622	-1, -1.048
102	Florida Atlantic	58.126	3-7	63.499	-1, -1.147
103	Toledo	57.612	5-6	61.528	+0, +0.157
104	Memphis	55.941	2-9	66.215	+1, -0.220
105	Arkansas St	55.765	2-8	60.677	-1, -1.333
106	Louisiana-Lafayette	55.396	6-5	59.574	+3, +0.266
107	Washington St	55.336	1-10	73.284	-1, -0.160
108	Army	54.845	5-6	59.028	+2, -0.142
109	Akron	54.441	2-9	64.058	+2, -0.157
110	San Jose St	54.076	1-9	68.873	-3, -1.332
111	Miami OH	53.517	1-11	67.538	-3, -1.832
112	Tulane	53.292	3-8	64.639	+0, -0.558
113	Rice	52.712	2-9	66.301	+3, +0.906
114	Florida Int'l	52.352	3-8	64.727	+1, -0.202
115	New Mexico	52.305	1-10	66.068	+2, +1.372
116	Ball St	52.199	1-10	61.842	-3, -0.714
117	North Texas	51.955	2-9	59.864	-3, -0.930
118	New Mexico St	50.061	3-8	62.522	+0, -0.071
119	Eastern Michigan	45.006	0-11	63.847	+0, -1.607
120	Western Kentucky	43.684	0-10	62.310	+0, -0.132