Sunday, November 22, 2009

2009 Week 11 NFL Preview

The full predictions each week are at http://sites.google.com/site/computerratings/nfl-football/nfl-predictions but below is a discussion of some of the interesting games.  These games all picked by the current computer ratings located here.

The computer went 2-1-1 last week in interesting games and a disappointing 5-9-1 overall but is still well above 0.500 for the season at 82-59-3.  See full records by week here and if you are interested in additional details on picks against the spread, best picks, and locks, see this where you can subscribe to a weekly newsletter.

Atlanta visits the Giants and for some reason Vegas likes the Giants by 7.5!  The computer also has them winning but my a much closer 0.8 so perhaps an opportunity.  Both teams are 5-4 and Atlanta has faced a tougher schedule.

I would not want to be the Jets going to visit New England.  With revenge and atoning for last weeks letting Indy off the hook in play, New England should be rearing to go and Vegas picks them by 12.  Alas, the computer does remember a bit of the early season Jets and only has them losing by 8.6.

Indy goes on the road to Baltimore trying to keep their undefeated season alive and Vegas does pick them by 2.  Alas, the computer likes Baltimore at home to not just cover but win the game, albeit by 0.1, a virtual tie.  Baltimore plays very well at home but Indy plays well on the road so could be a great game.

In a game that could decide the AFC West, Denver host San Diego and with two teams that have both been up and down this year and with Orton questionable it may not be the Denver team the computer has rated and picks to win by 3.5.  But Vegas can take the injury into account and has San Diego by 6.  Strong pick if you think Orton can play or Denver can play as well with Simms.

Enjoy the games.