Saturday, November 7, 2009

2009 Week 10 College Football Preview

Week 10 has already started and the computer is doing ok going 3-2 against the spread in the games thus far nailing Bowling Green and East Carolina (off by a total of 1.5 points) and also getting Louisiana Tech, and has done great picking winners going 5-0 while the Vegas line has gone 4-1.  Last weeks highlighted games went 3-2 against the spread getting Iowa, Cincinnati, and Oregon (the lock of the week) and missing on Georgia and Oklahoma State.  In any case, here are some of the interesting games of the weekend.  Rankings listed are from my computer rankings.

It isn't quite what it used to be, but this years Oklahoma vs Nebraska game should be a competitive one.  The Vegas line is OU by 6 but the computer says that is too much picking them by 2.9.  Interestingly there is only one way they are separated by 2 degrees and that is through Baylor so perhaps not a strong pick, but the computer is 5-3 for Nebraska and 5-2 for OU picking against the spread so perhaps it does have them positioned correctly.

Oregon, coming off their big win over USC visits Stanford and they are better than many think as my computer has them #23, but the computer really likes Oregon too and picks them by 7 versus the 5 point spread.

As is often the case, Notre Dame has a huge fan base driving the line up and it has reached 13 over Navy, but the computer picks them by only 6.  While they are not separated by 2 games at all, the computer has picked right in Notre Dame games 6 out of 8 and Navy games 7 out of 9.

In a game one might have thought would decide the Big Televen but now appears may decide #2, Ohio State visits Penn State as 3.5 point underdogs but the computer says that isn't enough picking Penn State by 5.3.  However, the computer has been picking Penn State games well (6-3) but not Ohio State (3-6) so who knows.

And in the big game of the week that could go a long ways to deciding who goes to the BCS title game, LSU visits Alabama as a 7 point underdog, but even with Alabama falling out of the #1 spot last week the computer still likes them by 9.8.  Interestingly they are not separated by 2 games at all and the computer is 4-4 in picking each teams games.

If you want more of the details behind the picks and which are the best picks and locks, take a look at and subscribe to my newsletter that is sent out weekly.

Enjoy the games.