Tuesday, November 3, 2009

2009 Week 8 NFL Ratings/Rankings and Summary

Week 8 of the NFL season is complete and it resulted in a few changes in the ratings.  The ratings are below but can always be found at http://sites.google.com/site/computerratings/nfl-football/nfl-ratings.

And then there were 2.  Denver's run of beating the odds finally came to an end as they ran in to a very good Baltimore team.  That leaves New Orleans and Indianapolis as the undefeateds and as you might expect they are #1 and #2 in the rankings.  What may be a surprise is that Baltimore's taking down Denver launched them into the #3 spot.  We'll see in the upcoming weeks if the computer's opinion is well founded as they go to #7 Cincinnati next week and host Indianapolis in 3 weeks.

Philadelphia also moved up 7 spots after walloping the Giants while the big loser in the rankings this week is Arizona falling all the way to #19 after losing at home to a 3-4 and not great Carolina team.

After several very good weeks, the computer stunk it up this week going 4-9 against the spread.  An indication of how the week went was last night New Orleans had the 9.5 covered and then couldn't just kneel on the ground giving up a field goal to lose that game for the computer.  Bad weeks happen, that just means a good week must be around the corner.  Details of the picks in last weeks newsletter.  Full prediction performance here.

Rank
Team
Rating
Record
Schedule
Change
Rank
Team
Rating
Record
Schedule
Change
1
New Orleans
94.893
7-0
80.596
+0, -0.390
2
Indianapolis
89.376
7-0
79.013
+0, -2.002
3
Baltimore
88.512
4-3
82.198
+6, +3.223
4
Denver
88.477
6-1
83.194
-1, -2.843
5
New England
87.803
5-2
80.689
-1, +0.421
6
Minnesota
86.735
7-1
80.400
+4, +1.571
7
Cincinnati
86.276
5-2
83.088
-1, -0.177
8
Atlanta
85.921
4-3
85.449
+3, +1.286
9
Dallas
85.622
5-2
78.109
+4, +1.400
10
Pittsburgh
85.376
5-2
79.286
-2, +0.071
11
NY Jets
84.250
4-4
82.928
-4, -1.156
12
Miami
84.236
3-4
85.245
+3, +0.993
13
Philadelphia
84.069
5-2
76.338
+7, +3.720
14
San Francisco
83.470
3-4
82.572
+0, +0.109
15
Houston
83.017
5-3
80.153
+3, +0.743
16
Green Bay
82.462
4-3
79.145
-4, -1.815
17
San Diego
82.434
4-3
80.631
+2, +0.211
18
Chicago
82.354
4-3
80.551
-1, +0.045
19
Arizona
81.904
4-3
80.480
-14, -4.738
20
NY Giants
80.673
5-3
79.691
-4, -2.207
21
Buffalo
78.595
3-5
81.761
+0, -1.120
22
Seattle
76.978
2-5
80.982
+0, -2.476
23
Carolina
76.763
3-4
79.660
+5, +5.265
24
Tennessee
76.355
1-6
83.569
+1, +1.591
25
Jacksonville
76.081
3-4
79.722
-2, -3.211
26
Cleveland
74.419
1-7
85.598
-2, -1.272
27
Oakland
74.291
2-6
82.199
-1, +0.304
28
Kansas City
72.238
1-6
80.343
+1, +0.826
29
St Louis
71.070
1-7
80.041
+1, +0.983
30
Washington
69.799
2-5
74.278
+1, +1.228
31
Detroit
69.426
1-6
81.384
-4, -2.345
32
Tampa Bay
68.711
0-7
80.475
+0, +1.529