Sunday, November 25, 2012

The voters who dropped Oregon after 24 point win on road against #16 - East Coast or anti-Oregon bias?

In analyzing the AP poll, I discovered that Oregon lost 4 points while Florida gained 91 and moved ahead of them.  This after both won on the road against similar opponents (Oregon State was and still is #16, Florida State was #10 and is now #13), Oregon winning far more convincingly (by 24 vs 11 and Oregon game wasn't in doubt late, FSU had a chance in the 4th quarter).

To understand how this happened, I looked for the voters that flipped the two teams and here they are:

  • Axe - Moved Florida from 7 to 5 and dropped Oregon from 6 to 7.
  • Bohls - Moved Florida from 7 to 6 and dropped Oregon from 3 to 7!
  • Cripe - Moved Florida from 6 to 3 and dropped Oregon from 4 to 7.
  • Emerson - Swapped the teams at 5 and 6.
  • Fowler - Moved Florida from 6 to 4 and dropped Oregon from 5 to 7.
  • Giglio - Moved Florida 5 to 2 and dropped Oregon 4 to 5.
  • Gimino - Moved Florida 6 to 4 and kept Oregon at 5.
  • Hlas - Moved Florida 7 to 2 and kept Oregon at 4.
  • Hurt - Moved Florida 7 to 4 and dropped Oregon 4 to 5.
  • Lesmerises - Moved Florida 5 to 4 and dropped Oregon 4 to 6.
  • Marcello - Swapped the teams at 5 and 6.
  • Murray - Moved Florida 6 to 3 and dropped Oregon 4 to 5.
  • Staples - Moved Florida 12(!) to 4 and dropped Oregon 4 to 5.
Some of these moves are to put it bluntly, baffling.  Bohls thought Oregon was still #3 last week, and they go out and beat Oregon State by 24 on the road and drop them 4 spots?  And he actually moves Oregon state up from #19 to #18 with the loss?

Staples thought FSU was a top-5 team (had them #5 last week) despite all the evidence to the contrary, and when proved wrong with Florida beat them, moves Florida, who he had #12 all the way to #4, higher than the overrated FSU team.

It was pointed out to me that Oregon's game was televised only regionally while Florida's was nationally televised, and I can understand the general public being swayed by that, but I thought the AP voters could be held to a higher standard.