And then there were 2! With Alabama's loss, and Notre Dame rating dropping a bit, just Oregon and Kansas State are projected to finish the season undefeated. And both teams are definitely projected to do so at 82% and 79%. This puts the chances of both occurring at 64% so a very good chance we have a match up of undefeated teams in the BCS Championship game.
Notre Dame still has a chance at a perfect season at 36%, but a 1-loss season is more likely at 64% due to having to visit USC.
Ohio State actually has a better shot at an undefeated season at 38%, but the computer still says 11-1 is more likely at 51%.
The teams with one or fewer losses below, full list on the site.
| Team | Record | % chance | % +1 | % -1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Record | % chance | % +1 | % -1 |
| Oregon | 13-0 | 81.7 | 0.0 | 17.2 |
| Kansas St | 12-0 | 78.7 | 0.0 | 20.0 |
| Ohio State | 11-1 | 50.6 | 37.8 | 11.6 |
| Notre Dame | 11-1 | 63.5 | 35.9 | 0.6 |
| Alabama | 11-1 | 70.4 | 0.0 | 29.5 |
| Florida | 10-1 | 57.9 | 0.0 | 42.1 |
| Northern Illinois | 12-1 | 49.1 | 0.0 | 42.8 |
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