College Football Week 5 Projections - And then there we none projected undefeated

The projected records for the regular season using results through week 3 are now available.

And there are now no teams projected to be undefeated.  Alabama's drop in the ratings make it slightly more likely (42%) that they lose one game than lose none (39%).  Similarly, Ohio U. had a narrow win over a bad Massachusetts team and is projected with one loss.

The team now with the best chance of finishing with one loss is FSU at just over 50%.  They also have a decent (24%) chance of finishing undefeated.  Interestingly, Rutgers is projected to have the best shot at undefeated (39%) and still has a 44% chance of a one loss season.

The teams with 2 or fewer losses below, full list on the site.

Team	Record	% chance	% +1	% -1
Team	Record	% chance	% +1	% -1
Florida St	11-1	50.2	23.5	22.1
Rutgers	11-1	44.4	39.0	14.5
Ohio U.	11-1	44.0	34.6	18.4
Georgia	11-1	43.8	14.1	35.9
Oregon	11-1	42.8	35.5	18.0
Florida	11-1	42.3	26.3	24.3
Alabama	11-1	42.2	38.7	16.3
Clemson	10-2	65.0	23.4	11.0
Boise St	10-2	49.7	21.2	25.2
Louisiana Tech	10-2	47.3	17.1	28.6
Western Kentucky	10-2	44.7	23.2	26.1
Toledo	10-2	43.0	16.9	32.3
San Jose St	10-2	41.9	39.1	16.1
Louisville	10-2	40.3	26.5	23.8
South Carolina	10-2	39.3	22.6	26.7
Texas A&M	10-2	36.6	10.7	34.1
Notre Dame	10-2	36.4	33.4	16.2
Texas	10-2	36.4	26.8	22.0
Northern Illinois	10-2	34.8	12.2	34.7
Nevada	10-2	34.5	14.8	32.0
Purdue	10-2	34.3	14.3	31.5
Northwestern	10-2	33.4	17.8	29.5
Kansas St	10-2	32.6	24.1	23.5
Ohio State	10-2	32.3	19.8	27.1
Texas Tech	10-2	30.8	17.7	28.0