Oregon's margin over #2 TCU stays over four points, but is less than the nearly eight it was last week. This is due to prior opponent ASU losing big to Cal and also Stanford's closer than expected win over WSU.
There is a new #3 in Missouri close behind TCU at #2. Missouri replaces now #4 Boise State based on their win over Oklahoma. The computer did pick the Missouri win and upset, one of the correct picks in a decent 28-22-1 week against the spread, but they still get moved up a bit based in part on Boise State dropping with some prior opponents doing more poorly than expected.
Utah makes a move up continuing their undefeated season at #5 and Ohio State bounces back too getting back into the top-10 at #8.
Cal makes the biggest move up in the top-30, 11 spots, and it is interesting to look at their performance chart as that is an effective way to see how schizophrenic they have been.
They've had no games that even overlap with their current rating. They are either playing great (Colorado, UCLA, ASU), or poorly (Nevada, USC). The Arizona loss was actually a pretty good result for them too.
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As noted above, the computer had a pretty good week going 28-22-1 against the spread, this after going 30-23 last week. Picks meeting the lock criteria also went 3-1 after going 5-2 last week. See the prediction performance for more details.
Rank | Team | Rating | Record | Schedule | Change |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rank | Team | Rating | Record | Schedule | Change |
1 | Oregon | 91.615 | 7-0 | 64.135 | +0, -2.961 |
2 | TCU | 86.864 | 8-0 | 64.802 | +0, -0.006 |
3 | Missouri | 85.028 | 7-0 | 66.943 | +2, +0.293 |
4 | Boise St | 84.756 | 6-0 | 64.287 | -1, -1.685 |
5 | Utah | 83.671 | 7-0 | 59.314 | +3, -0.151 |
6 | Stanford | 82.317 | 6-1 | 70.572 | -2, -3.645 |
7 | Oklahoma | 81.956 | 6-1 | 72.177 | -1, -2.371 |
8 | Ohio State | 81.955 | 7-1 | 64.486 | +6, +0.982 |
9 | Nebraska | 81.443 | 6-1 | 66.320 | +2, +0.112 |
10 | Michigan St | 81.325 | 8-0 | 63.629 | -3, -2.574 |
11 | Iowa | 81.120 | 5-2 | 65.363 | -2, -1.726 |
12 | Arizona | 81.082 | 6-1 | 66.663 | +4, +0.687 |
13 | Auburn | 81.063 | 8-0 | 67.955 | -3, -0.538 |
14 | Southern Cal | 80.692 | 5-2 | 70.095 | -1, -0.458 |
15 | Alabama | 80.410 | 7-1 | 67.345 | +0, -0.079 |
16 | California | 79.764 | 4-3 | 72.676 | +11, +2.280 |
17 | Wisconsin | 79.733 | 7-1 | 65.233 | +3, +0.244 |
18 | Florida St | 79.617 | 6-1 | 65.444 | -1, -0.560 |
19 | Miami FL | 79.546 | 5-2 | 69.038 | +6, +1.958 |
20 | Nevada | 79.110 | 6-1 | 62.837 | +1, +0.087 |
21 | South Carolina | 79.062 | 5-2 | 69.269 | -2, -0.864 |
22 | LSU | 77.909 | 7-1 | 68.030 | -4, -2.027 |
23 | Virginia Tech | 76.828 | 6-2 | 64.293 | +1, -1.214 |
24 | Oregon St | 76.749 | 3-3 | 78.134 | -1, -1.401 |
25 | Arizona St | 76.551 | 3-4 | 74.343 | -13, -4.732 |
26 | Oklahoma St | 75.645 | 6-1 | 64.607 | -4, -2.703 |
27 | Arkansas | 75.626 | 5-2 | 67.579 | +4, +0.136 |
28 | Mississippi St | 74.976 | 6-2 | 64.644 | +1, -1.780 |
29 | Pittsburgh | 74.791 | 4-3 | 68.488 | +6, +0.433 |
30 | Clemson | 74.578 | 4-3 | 62.130 | +8, +0.794 |
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