The AFC playoff teams are projected to be the Jets, Pittsburgh, Indy, and KC as division winners with Baltimore and New England the wildcards. Tennessee gets left out but after that, no one is close.
In the NFC, Atlanta, the Giants, Chicago, and Seattle win the divisions with New Orleans and Philly getting the wildcards. There are a host of teams close behind the two 9-7 wildcards with four at 8-8 and another two at 7-9 so this race could be tight.
It is interesting how clearly this shows the AFC's dominance this year. All the AFC playoff teams are 10-6 or better with one 10-6 team getting left out, while only one NFC team is better than 10-6. Is that really the way it will end up?
Team | Record | % chance | % +1 | % -1 |
---|---|---|---|---|
Team | Record | % chance | % +1 | % -1 |
NY Jets | 13-3 | 36.1 | 24.5 | 23.8 |
Pittsburgh | 13-3 | 32.2 | 22.6 | 24.4 |
Baltimore | 12-4 | 32.8 | 31.5 | 17.5 |
New England | 12-4 | 25.5 | 16.6 | 24.9 |
Atlanta | 11-5 | 27.7 | 20.4 | 23.4 |
Indianapolis | 11-5 | 26.9 | 17.4 | 25.4 |
Kansas City | 10-6 | 26.2 | 24.2 | 18.6 |
Tennessee | 10-6 | 25.2 | 24.5 | 17.4 |
NY Giants | 10-6 | 24.4 | 17.0 | 23.7 |
New Orleans | 9-7 | 26.5 | 18.4 | 24.4 |
Chicago | 9-7 | 25.5 | 17.1 | 24.9 |
Philadelphia | 9-7 | 24.6 | 24.0 | 17.0 |
Seattle | 9-7 | 24.4 | 20.3 | 20.4 |
Green Bay | 8-8 | 28.1 | 22.8 | 21.4 |
Miami | 8-8 | 26.6 | 24.0 | 18.8 |
Houston | 8-8 | 26.1 | 18.8 | 23.9 |
St Louis | 8-8 | 25.6 | 21.8 | 20.2 |
Denver | 8-8 | 25.3 | 18.5 | 23.1 |
Tampa Bay | 8-8 | 25.0 | 18.4 | 23.0 |
Arizona | 8-8 | 24.2 | 21.7 | 18.8 |
Jacksonville | 7-9 | 26.3 | 22.3 | 20.3 |
Minnesota | 7-9 | 26.1 | 22.9 | 19.4 |
San Diego | 7-9 | 25.9 | 19.9 | 22.4 |
Washington | 7-9 | 25.4 | 23.7 | 18.0 |
Cincinnati | 6-10 | 31.0 | 25.3 | 20.7 |
Detroit | 6-10 | 25.3 | 19.5 | 22.1 |
Dallas | 6-10 | 24.8 | 20.3 | 20.9 |
Oakland | 5-11 | 27.7 | 17.6 | 27.1 |
San Francisco | 5-11 | 26.2 | 20.7 | 21.8 |
Cleveland | 4-12 | 33.1 | 23.6 | 23.9 |
Carolina | 2-14 | 31.6 | 17.5 | 31.1 |
Buffalo | 1-15 | 36.1 | 29.2 | 18.3 |
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