Sunday, September 5, 2010

Preliminary 2010 College Football Week 1 Prediction Performance; 23-11-1 against the spread!

I often times don't really pay attention to it since it is a bit of a game of luck early in the season, but this year I did check the computer's predictions against the spread in week 1 and was pleasantly surprised to see that it went 23-11-1 through yesterday's games.

These picks are done using last years end of season ratings as while not perfect, it is a much better starting point than treating all the teams the same.  So going 23-11-1 simply means that those ratings aren't all bad as a starting point.

Full week by week results from last year can be seen here.  The computer was at 57% against the spread and a stellar 78% on locks last year.

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