And there are 3 projected to finish undefeated and Alabama and Ohio State aren't any of them. Rather it is BCS busters Nevada and TCU, and what appears to be a hot Stanford team.
Stanford will be tested right away visiting Oregon next week and has a pretty good chance of finishing with one loss (40%) so them finishing unblemished is certainly not a given.
Nevada on the other hand, like Boise State, is now entering the easy part of their schedule. The only game on their schedule that should be a test is Boise State and that game is in Reno. With convincing wins hosting Cal and at BYU, if they beat BSU they can make a decent case for getting into the BCS.
TCU's only real opponent on the schedule is at Utah so they too are looking good.
There are a host of teams projected to have 1 loss that have a decent chance at an undefeated season, those being tOSU (44% up from 36%), Alabama (35%), NC State (30%), Boise State (21%), and Florida (8%).
It is a bit of a surprise to see NC State with such a good chance, but after next week's game hosting VaTech (#20), their only game against a team ranked higher than #45 is at Clemson (#21) so they have a chance.
| Team | Record | % chance | % +1 | % -1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Record | % chance | % +1 | % -1 |
| Nevada | 13-0 | 62.9 | 0.0 | 32.9 |
| TCU | 12-0 | 69.1 | 0.0 | 28.7 |
| Stanford | 12-0 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 39.9 |
| Temple | 11-1 | 63.0 | 0.0 | 31.1 |
| Boise St | 11-1 | 56.1 | 18.1 | 22.1 |
| Ohio State | 11-1 | 45.9 | 43.5 | 9.9 |
| Alabama | 11-1 | 45.8 | 34.9 | 16.8 |
| North Carolina St | 11-1 | 45.0 | 30.1 | 20.4 |
| Florida | 11-1 | 42.3 | 8.3 | 36.1 |
No comments:
Post a Comment