The Saints stay #1 which is no surprise, but there is quite a bit of shakeup behind them. The Patriots, Packers, and Ravens all made strong moves to get ahead of Minnesota, even though Minnesota's rating didn't drop much at all. Houston also made a strong move up as did the Giants.
Indianapolis and Dallas were big losers as was San Diego. They certainly hope week 1 is not what we can expect to see the rest of the year.
Given how much teams change from last year and how varied performances can be early in the year, the predictions were not very good going 7-9 against the spread and 8-8 picking winners vs Vegas going 11-5.
See another post in a few minutes on projected records after week 1.
| Rank | Team | Rating | Record | Schedule | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | Team | Rating | Record | Schedule | Change |
| 1 | New Orleans | 88.752 | 1-0 | 82.929 | +0, +0.088 |
| 2 | New England | 87.115 | 1-0 | 76.647 | +3, +1.568 |
| 3 | Green Bay | 87.105 | 1-0 | 84.836 | +5, +2.367 |
| 4 | Baltimore | 86.113 | 1-0 | 86.962 | +5, +1.425 |
| 5 | Minnesota | 85.929 | 0-1 | 91.752 | -3, -0.088 |
| 6 | Houston | 85.314 | 1-0 | 80.074 | +7, +2.683 |
| 7 | NY Jets | 83.962 | 0-1 | 83.113 | -1, -1.425 |
| 8 | NY Giants | 83.732 | 1-0 | 77.611 | +13, +3.443 |
| 9 | Pittsburgh | 83.556 | 1-0 | 79.481 | +5, +1.464 |
| 10 | Indianapolis | 83.074 | 0-1 | 88.314 | -6, -2.683 |
| 11 | Miami | 82.864 | 1-0 | 81.392 | +7, +1.966 |
| 12 | Tennessee | 82.849 | 1-0 | 69.168 | +7, +2.361 |
| 13 | Dallas | 82.721 | 0-1 | 83.307 | -10, -3.209 |
| 14 | Atlanta | 82.481 | 0-1 | 86.556 | -2, -1.464 |
| 15 | Philadelphia | 81.836 | 0-1 | 84.105 | -5, -2.367 |
| 16 | San Diego | 81.292 | 0-1 | 82.095 | -9, -3.601 |
| 17 | Jacksonville | 81.068 | 1-0 | 73.259 | +8, +3.798 |
| 18 | Arizona | 80.827 | 1-0 | 74.227 | -3, -1.001 |
| 19 | Carolina | 80.611 | 0-1 | 86.732 | -8, -3.443 |
| 20 | Washington | 80.307 | 1-0 | 79.721 | +6, +3.209 |
| 21 | Seattle | 79.968 | 1-0 | 72.693 | +9, +5.567 |
| 22 | Cincinnati | 79.647 | 0-1 | 90.115 | -5, -1.568 |
| 23 | Kansas City | 79.095 | 1-0 | 78.292 | +5, +3.601 |
| 24 | Buffalo | 78.392 | 0-1 | 79.864 | -4, -1.966 |
| 25 | Tampa Bay | 77.597 | 1-0 | 73.288 | -1, -0.154 |
| 26 | Chicago | 76.970 | 1-0 | 68.026 | -3, -1.473 |
| 27 | Cleveland | 76.288 | 0-1 | 80.597 | +0, +0.154 |
| 28 | Denver | 76.259 | 0-1 | 84.068 | -6, -3.798 |
| 29 | San Francisco | 75.693 | 0-1 | 82.968 | -13, -5.567 |
| 30 | Oakland | 72.168 | 0-1 | 85.849 | -1, -2.361 |
| 31 | St Louis | 71.227 | 0-1 | 77.827 | +0, +1.001 |
| 32 | Detroit | 71.026 | 0-1 | 79.970 | +0, +1.473 |
was wondering if you have given a general outline of how you come up with power ratings? I've been trying to come up with a strategy and would appreciate any knowledge/advice.
ReplyDelete@Anonymous There is a short write-up on the home page for the ratings at https://sites.google.com/site/computerratings/home but if you have specific questions, ask away
ReplyDelete