Tuesday, September 14, 2010

2010 NFL Week 1 Projected Records; Saints, Packers, Cardinals, Giants and Ravens, Patriots, Texans, Chiefs win divisions

With one weeks worth of games in the books, my computer can make updated projections for the regular season records and who will make the playoffs.

With only one game played I can't say these will be the most accurate, but after week 1 last year the computer had 4 of the 6 AFC teams picked and 4 of the 6 NFC teams, so it may not be that far off.

See the full list for week 1, but here is some commentary.

In the NFC, it is no surprise to see New Orleans and Green Bay projected to win their conferences at 12-4 and 11-5, but Minnesota is close behind the Packers at 10-6.  After that, the NFC is not impressive with division winners Arizona and the Giants at 9-7 and Seattle slipping in as the last team also at 9-7.  Arizona gets the nod over Seattle by having a slightly greater chance of finishing at 9-7 as well as 10-6.

Teams you might expect to vie for an NFC playoff spot like Dallas, Philadelphia, Carolina, and Atlanta, are all projected to be 8-8 right now so certainly have a shot at getting in if they play a bit better than they did in week 1.

In the AFC, it is a bit tighter with 4 teams all at 11-5 or 10-6 with Baltimore, New England, and Houston winning divisions and Pittsburgh picking up a wildcard.  Kansas City gets the division winner nod over San Diego based on a better chance at 9-7 as well as 10-6 and Miami gets the last wildcard over San Diego, the Jets, and Tennessee, all also at 9-7.  Jacksonville and Indianapolis are at 8-8 so close to getting into the 9-7 mix.

Stay tuned for more updates.