Saturday, September 25, 2010

2010 Week 4 College Football Preview; Stanford/Notre Dame, South Carolina/Auburn, Cal/Arizona, Boise State/Oregon State, Alabama/Arkansas

There are a few interesting games this weekend, so here is a preview.

First, Stanford visits Notre Dame favored by 2.5.  Stanford's offense has been rolling leading to a #3 ranking by the computer while Notre Dame's heart breaking losses have them at #59 resulting in a Stanford pick by 14.8 so the clear pick is Stanford giving the points.

In a game between two top-20 teams (in the polls and computer), computer #17 South Carolina visits #20 Auburn.  The game line is Auburn by 3 and being at home does help them in the computers pick but not enough as South Carolina is the pick by 0.6 so take the points.

California visits Arizona licking their wounds after losing to Nevada last week.  Arizona is a 6.5 point pick by Vegas after their big win and the computer says that isn't enough setting it at 12.3.  Unless Cal bounces back and Arizona has a let down from last week the pick is clear.

In what will likely be Boise State's next to last opportunity to impress the voters (they play at Nevada late in the year), Oregon State visits as a 17 point underdog.  That is a lot as the computer has the margin at 13.4 so take the visitors plus the points.

And in a top-10 showdown (well the computer has Arkansas #16), #1 Alabama visits Arkansas favored by 6 and the computer says it isn't enough setting the margin at 9.8.

None of the above games is well connected since so few games have been played, but South Carolina vs Auburn have just 4 degrees of separation which is the fewest.  The rest are either not connected or have 8 degrees or more.

Enjoy the games.