Sunday, September 12, 2010

2010 Week 2 College Football Rankings and Recap; Alabama #1, Florida #2, Oregon #3, Boise State drops to #11

It is still very early, and some bizarre changes can (and did) occur in the ratings and rankings, but here is where things stand after week 2 of the college football season.

The full rankings are on the web-site, but the top-30 is below for quick reference.

Alabama stays #1 and recovers some of the points they lost from playing a weak opponent last week and has a sizable lead over new #2 Florida and #3 Oregon.  Oregon's pounding of Tennessee on the road gave them a healthy boost and Florida got a boost too leap frogging TCU, Boise State, and Ohio State.

But bizarre surprise of the week is Air Force jumping to #5.  But they soundly beat a good BYU team who had beat a Washington team that soundly beat a Syracuse team.  Air Force gets their chance to justify a high ranking when they visit #11 Oklahoma this weekend.  Iowa, Stanford, and Cal also make big jumps up into the top-13 after convincing wins.

Virginia Tech, and by extension Boise State, was the big loser of the week after an embarrassing loss to James Madison.  They drop 18 spots and are saved from justifiably dropping farther by the computer still using last years end of season rating a bit.  As a result Boise State drops to #8 and their strong non-conference opponent just dropped the ball for them.  Georgia Tech and Florida State actually fell further after their poor losses, but Virginia Tech's loss has more meaning overall.

Picking games, the computer went 25-19 against the spread and 37-7 picking winners while Vegas went 38-6 picking winners.  Not bad considering the computer is just getting going.  Full prediction performance here.

RankTeamRatingRecordScheduleChange
RankTeamRatingRecordScheduleChange
1 Alabama 92.195 2-0 65.550 +0, +4.215
2 Florida 88.192 2-0 58.745 +4, +5.862
3 Oregon 86.058 2-0 62.024 +5, +5.562
4 TCU 84.209 2-0 62.669 -2, -0.756
5 Air Force 84.070 2-0 53.487 +49,+13.550
6 Ohio State 83.229 2-0 66.802 -1, +0.724
7 Iowa 82.881 2-0 52.466 +15, +6.964
8 Boise St 81.690 1-0 77.172 -5, -2.689
9 LSU 81.497 2-0 70.851 -2, +0.574
10 Stanford 81.237 2-0 61.156 +21, +5.865
11 Oklahoma 80.302 2-0 65.661 +19, +4.875
12 Texas 80.199 2-0 59.411 -3, +0.246
13 California 79.567 2-0 51.849 +22, +5.727
14 Nebraska 79.508 2-0 54.740 +13, +3.869
15 South Carolina 79.451 2-0 66.662 -4, +1.954
16 Arizona 79.209 2-0 57.198 +3, +2.831
17 Pittsburgh 78.562 1-1 71.192 -4, +1.317
18 Arkansas 78.354 2-0 54.320 -6, +0.915
19 Texas A&M 78.146 2-0 59.449 +22, +4.924
20 Utah 77.634 2-0 66.018 -5, +0.952
21 Auburn 77.193 2-0 63.761 +5, +1.510
22 Virginia Tech 77.172 0-2 77.622 -18, -5.378
23 Southern Cal 77.092 2-0 66.527 -5, +0.704
24 Texas Tech 76.937 2-0 62.562 -3, +0.814
25 Penn State 76.825 1-1 73.665 -9, +0.187
26 North Carolina 75.602 0-1 81.497 +7, +0.287
27 Oregon St 75.392 0-1 84.209 -3, -0.377
28 Miami FL 75.219 1-1 64.268 -3, -0.475
29 Brigham Young 74.570 1-1 78.790 -9, -1.783
30 Georgia 74.557 1-1 67.743 -13, -2.060

Updated 9/12 to correct ratings error