Sunday, September 19, 2010

2010 Week 3 College Football Projections; TCU and Alabama Undefeated

With three games played by most teams, we can get a clearer set of regular season projected records, but it is still early and a lot of teams still hold out hope for an undefeated season.  Here is what my computer projects and here it is.

Last week, Alabama and Boise State were the teams projected to be undefeated but this week, swap out Boise State and swap in TCU.  This change is due primarily to BSU future opponent Nevada moving way up and TCU future opponent Air Force dropping a bit.  TCU actually has the best shot at 44% with Alabama at 42%.  Both teams have a nearly as good a shot at 1 loss though at 41% and 40% respectively.

There are a host of teams projected to have 1 loss that have a decent chance at an undefeated season, those being Nebraska (38%), tOSU (36% up from 22% last week), Nevada (21%), Boise State (21%), and Stanford (14%).

For those interested in more details on the BCS busters, here is what the computer says Boise State's and TCU's chances are various wins.  Boise State:
  •   6 -  0.01%
  •   7 -  0.12%
  •   8 -  1.38%
  •   9 -  8.61%
  •  10 - 27.78%
  •  11 - 41.51%
  •  12 - 20.60%
    TCU:
    •   8 -  0.12%
    •   9 -  1.76%
    •  10 - 13.07%
    •  11 - 41.45%
    •  12 - 43.60%
    Stay tuned for updates.