Saturday, January 7, 2012

Atlanta at NY Giants 2012 NFL Playoff Preview -

Atlanta plays at the NY Giants on 1/8 in a wildcard playoff game.

NY Giants are ranked #12 by the computer with a 9-7 record and a rating of 82.613 against a schedule strength of 82.357. Their performance chart can be found below and shows they were very up and down, their worst game being against Washington and best game being at Philadelphia. They are 8-7-1 against the spread this year and the computer is 8-7-1 picking their games against the spread and 6-10 picking winners in their games.



Atlanta is ranked #8 by the computer with a 10-6 record and a rating of 84.062 against a schedule strength of 81.360. Their performance chart can be found below and shows they were a little down early then improved, their worst game being at Chicago and best game being at Detroit. They are 7-8-1 against the spread this year and the computer is 9-6-1 picking their games against the spread and 13-3 picking winners in their games.



The teams are separated by 2 degrees as follows:


2 NY_Giants-->Green_Bay-->Atlanta
2 NY_Giants-->New_Orleans-->Atlanta
2 NY_Giants-->New_Orleans-->Atlanta
2 NY_Giants-->Philadelphia-->Atlanta
2 NY_Giants-->Philadelphia-->Atlanta
2 NY_Giants-->Seattle-->Atlanta


The spread is the Giants by 3 and the computer agrees but b less picking them by 1.6. Here is the pick using the format from the newsletter:

.Atlanta +3.0 over *x NY Giants 1.6 1.4 0.553 0.550

Enjoy!


Newsletter pick format:

The x denotes the home team. The * denotes the pick to win the game. The . is just a place holder. The number before "over" is the best line I've found typically from Maddux Sports. The team on the left is the pick against the spread. The first column after the second team is what the computer predicts the winning team will win by. The next column is the difference between the Vegas line and that prediction. The next column is the confidence of my pick to win. The last column is the confidence of the pick against the spread.