Saturday, October 1, 2011

College Football Week 5 Preview

Here are what the computer thinks of a few of the key games today.  And there are a bunch of good ones.

Last week, the featured games went 5-0 against the spread including picking the Oklahoma State upset.

Poll #14 Texas A&M and #18 Arkansas meet in Arlington in a preview of a future SEC game, and the computer likes its #11 A&M by 8.6 over its #32 Arkansas, a lot more than the 2.5 point line.  This is one of the stronger picks by the computer this week.

The ACC has a big game with poll #13 Clemson visiting #11 Virginia Tech.  The computer doesn't have them ranked as high, #24 and #19 respectively, but it should be a good game with Virginia Tech winning by around 5.  This is less than the 7.5 line so take Clemson plus the points.

In a rematch from a big upset last year, poll #17 Texas visits 3-0 Iowa State.  Iowa State won in Austin 28-21 last year, so Texas will be out to return the upset.  The computer has them #33 and #44 respectively and being at home for them likes Iowa State to pull the upset again, but in a virtual tie.  Take them plus the 9 points.

While Texas A&M and Arkansas is a preview of a future conference matchup, poll #8 Nebraska visiting #7 Wisconsin is the first game of a new conference matchup and could very well determine the BIG10 champion.  Vegas has Wisconsin by 10 which the computer thinks is too much, having its #8 Wisconsin winning by just 7.3 over its #13 Nebraska.  Take the road team plus the points.

And in the game that could be a significant factor in determining BCS bowls the SEC is in and perhaps the national champion, poll #3 Alabama visits #12 Florida.  The computer has about the same ranking at #2 and #12, but likes Alabama by a lot more than the 4 point line, picking them by 8.2.  If Florida does pull off the win, they'll definitely move up in the ratings.

Enjoy the games!