Saturday, October 29, 2011

College Football Week 9 Season Projections - 4 Undefeated Teams

The number of teams projected to finish undefeated stays at 4 this week with Stanford replacing Clemson on the list.  Boise State has the best chance at 88% and Stanford the worst at 61.5%.

After Stanford's win over USC, they are past that hurdle but also improved their rating a bit while their toughest future foe, Oregon, had their rating drop a bit.  Despite Alabama dropping to #2, they will still be the pick to win over LSU since the game is at home.  Oklahoma State has some tough opponents, but both Kansas State and Oklahoma visit Stillwater.  Boise State has TCU in 2 weeks but they visit Boise.

Should LSU beat Alabama, they'd immediately jump into the projected undefeated category, and Houston has a good chance of finishing unblemished.

Note that these projections do not include any championship games so some teams may have a lower chance of going into their bowl game undefeated.

The projected undefeated and 1-loss teams below, the full list on the web-site.

TeamRecord% chance% +1% -1
Boise St12-088.00.011.6
Oklahoma St12-073.20.025.2
Alabama12-063.50.035.7
Stanford12-061.50.035.1
Southern Miss11-176.90.021.4
LSU11-164.634.50.9
Houston11-151.331.116.3