Saturday, September 24, 2011

College Football Week 4 Preview

This weeks predictions are up, but here is some commentary on a few of the key games.

In one top-20 showdown, both #1 LSU and #11 West Virginia have shown marked improvement this year but LSU has shown the most and is the pick to win by more than a touchdown even on the road.  With that pick, the computer is taking LSU and giving the points.

In another top-20 (polls) game, #4 Alabama and #29 Arkansas play in Alabama.  Couple Arkansas not looking that great in a only 10 point win over an 0-2 Troy with Alabama being at home and playing well and the computer likes Alabama by more than 2 touchdowns which is more than the 11.5 or so points.  Again, take the favorite and give the points.

Another top-25 (polls) game has #22 Florida State visiting #12 Clemson.  Both teams have improved this year but the computer likes Clemson especially being at home by nearly 5.  Again, take the favorite and give the 2 points.

Being on the west coast I have to include a Pac-12 game and #23 USC visits #20 Arizona State.  Both teams are about where they started the season and again the computer likes the favorite by more than the 2.5 line.

And in the only game between teams in the top-10 of the polls, #6 Oklahoma State visits #10 Texas A&M.  Both teams have shown improvement this year and despite the game being in College Station, the computer likes Oklahoma State to win as an underdog.

Enjoy the games.