Michigan joins Boise State, Wisconsin, and Alabama as teams projected to finish the regular season undefeated. Boise State has the best chance with #23 TCU visiting them in 5 weeks being their only remaining test. Michigan is nearly as likely to finish with 1 loss and with a finish against Nebraska and Ohio State they could be tested if those teams come together after early struggles and suspensions.
Of the teams projected to have 1 loss, 5 of them have a better than 20% chance at going undefeated, so there is a good chance one of them pulls it off. Most likely is Stanford (they get Oregon in Palo Alto this year) but LSU is right there.
What about Oklahoma? Their 4 toughest remaining games come in their last 5 games and the finish with Oklahoma State and the computer says the chance of exactly one loss is 43% with a 23% chance of not losing any. Oklahoma State themselves is at 42% and 22% so very close behind due in part of that finishing game being in Stillwater.
The projected undefeated and 1-loss teams below, the full list on the web-site.
| Team | Record | % chance | % +1 | % -1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boise St | 12-0 | 94.9 | 0.0 | 5.1 |
| Wisconsin | 12-0 | 76.8 | 0.0 | 21.2 |
| Alabama | 12-0 | 71.1 | 0.0 | 28.9 |
| Michigan | 12-0 | 47.9 | 0.0 | 39.3 |
| LSU | 11-1 | 69.9 | 28.0 | 2.2 |
| Clemson | 11-1 | 45.2 | 25.7 | 24.7 |
| Stanford | 11-1 | 44.8 | 28.5 | 21.5 |
| Oklahoma | 11-1 | 43.4 | 23.2 | 25.7 |
| Oklahoma St | 11-1 | 42.2 | 22.3 | 26.9 |
| Houston | 11-1 | 39.7 | 14.3 | 34.5 |
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