Sunday, October 9, 2011

College Football Week 6 Season Projections - 4 Undefeated Teams

Last week there were 3 teams projected to finish undefeated, now there are 4!

Michigan joins Boise State, Wisconsin, and Alabama as teams projected to finish the regular season undefeated.  Boise State has the best chance with #23 TCU visiting them in 5 weeks being their only remaining test.  Michigan is nearly as likely to finish with 1 loss and with a finish against Nebraska and Ohio State they could be tested if those teams come together after early struggles and suspensions.

Of the teams projected to have 1 loss, 5 of them have a better than 20% chance at going undefeated, so there is a good chance one of them pulls it off.  Most likely is Stanford (they get Oregon in Palo Alto this year) but LSU is right there.

What about Oklahoma?  Their 4 toughest remaining games come in their last 5 games and the finish with Oklahoma State and the computer says the chance of exactly one loss is 43% with a 23% chance of not losing any.  Oklahoma State themselves is at 42% and 22% so very close behind due in part of that finishing game being in Stillwater.

The projected undefeated and 1-loss teams below, the full list on the web-site.

TeamRecord% chance% +1% -1
Boise St12-
Oklahoma St11-142.222.326.9