Sunday, October 23, 2011

Week 8 College Football Conference Comparison

An update on the conference comparison from three weeks ago.

Looking at average ratings top to bottom, he SEC and Big-12 are far and away the leading conferences but it is closer than you might think.  The Pac-12 is a comfortable #3 with the B1G, ACC, and Big-East fairly close a few points back.

RankConferenceAverageHighLow
RankConferenceAverageHighLow
1SEC80.23497.85364.506
2Big-1279.28292.15464.020
3Pac-1275.24791.30262.385
4Big-Ten72.98586.89057.200
5ACC72.13586.10960.030
6Big-East71.53575.34865.476
7Independent69.27179.02959.640
8Mountain-West66.91290.99352.022
9WAC66.27074.22758.429
10C-USA64.89776.67551.299
11MAC64.39178.53252.299
12Sun-Belt57.06868.03745.816


Another way of looking at conference strengths is to look at performance in non-conference games.  But one can't just look at records as some schools/conferences play a lot of FCS/I-AA teams or even weak FBS/I-A teams.  A better way is to group the games played by a conference and run them through the computer's algorithm.  Doing this yields:

RankTeamRatingRecordScheduleChange
RankTeamRatingRecordScheduleChange
1Big-1277.46927-364.798
2SEC77.35331-464.007
3ACC71.80029-1163.474
4Big-Ten71.72134-1363.875
5Big-East71.63125-1365.930
6Pac-1271.43621-1266.184
7Independent69.37314-1568.415
8C-USA66.74921-2468.411
9WAC66.66512-2367.794
10MAC66.10621-3068.064
11Mountain-West64.20819-1865.979
12Sun-Belt62.60511-2069.640

Interestingly, the Big-12 comes out on top here narrowly over the SEC.  They have similar records and schedule strengths so it is very close.  They haven't gotten to these records playing the toughest schedules though as only the Big-Ten and ACC have weaker out of conference schedules.