Just for fun, I've toyed with an algorithm that is similarly handcuffed and I believe it has more reasonable results than some of the BCS computers. Here is my BCS algorithms top-25.
Oregon is still #1 but Auburn does move up to #2. TCU and Boise St are down a bit due to their weaker schedules. I still have Stanford rated highly and oddly Missouri even with 2 losses is #8. So, I like my BCS algorithm better than most of the others, but I still think it is flawed and that is because MOV can't be taken into account.
Now, MOV has to be taken into account appropriately, using diminishing returns and tailoring it so that a team neither benefits from running up the score but also doesn't get dinged if they don't. That is exactly what my normal algorithm does, resulting in I believe a better set of ratings and rankings.
What do you think? Leave a comment.
Rank | Team | Rating | Record | Schedule | Change |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rank | Team | Rating | Record | Schedule | Change |
1 | Oregon | 86.990 | 10-0 | 74.752 | +1, +0.096 |
2 | Auburn | 86.766 | 11-0 | 73.177 | -1, -0.776 |
3 | Stanford | 85.032 | 9-1 | 76.348 | +3, -0.318 |
4 | LSU | 84.688 | 9-1 | 74.984 | +1, -0.925 |
5 | Nebraska | 84.333 | 9-1 | 74.337 | -2, -1.665 |
6 | TCU | 84.304 | 11-0 | 72.574 | -2, -1.579 |
7 | Oklahoma St | 84.287 | 9-1 | 74.815 | +0, -0.814 |
8 | Missouri | 83.178 | 8-2 | 76.426 | +1, -0.097 |
9 | Boise St | 82.912 | 9-0 | 72.304 | -1, -1.124 |
10 | Alabama | 82.395 | 8-2 | 76.129 | +6, +0.442 |
11 | Michigan St | 82.320 | 9-1 | 72.096 | +0, -0.740 |
12 | Oklahoma | 82.164 | 8-2 | 75.701 | +2, +0.012 |
13 | Wisconsin | 82.070 | 9-1 | 71.480 | -3, -1.102 |
14 | Arkansas | 81.662 | 8-2 | 73.948 | +3, -0.058 |
15 | Ohio State | 81.341 | 9-1 | 71.545 | +3, +0.039 |
16 | Texas A&M | 81.249 | 7-3 | 76.395 | +5, +0.583 |
17 | Southern Cal | 81.120 | 7-3 | 77.134 | +7, +1.085 |
18 | Arizona | 80.331 | 7-3 | 75.080 | -6, -2.592 |
19 | Nevada | 79.955 | 8-1 | 71.857 | +3, -0.405 |
20 | South Carolina | 79.907 | 7-3 | 75.429 | +10, +1.188 |
21 | Iowa | 79.435 | 7-3 | 74.048 | -8, -3.086 |
22 | Mississippi St | 79.329 | 7-3 | 73.881 | -2, -1.636 |
23 | Kansas St | 79.209 | 6-4 | 76.460 | -4, -2.088 |
24 | Virginia Tech | 78.857 | 8-2 | 71.953 | +10, +0.789 |
25 | Utah | 78.715 | 8-2 | 72.537 | -10, -3.357 |
No comments:
Post a Comment