2010 Week 11 College Football Ratings and Rankings; Oregon #1, Stanford #2, Boise St #3, TCU #4, Auburn #5

After what I called Separation Saturday last week, the 4 top teams all found a way to come back to the pack, each in their own way.  The top-4 are still in the top-4, but other than Oregon remaining at #1, teams have moved around.  And behind the top-4, several teams are making moves and getting closer.

Oregon struggled in beating California and their rating falls over 3 points, but they had such a cushion coming in that they are still #1 by a wide margin.  Of course, they were helped by last weeks #2, TCU, struggling themselves but also being hurt by Utah's collapse and Oregon State's poor showing as they fell an astounding 6.1 points and fell to #4.

Stanford and Boise State, last weeks #3 and #4 respectively, had their own issues, Stanford just getting by ASU and Boise being hurt by Oregon State's loss too, and lost ratings points, but due to TCU's fall move up to #2 and #3.

Behind them, Auburn finally gets into the top-5, and is within striking distance of #2 Stanford (less than 2 points) but Alabama, their opponent in 2 weeks, is right behind at #6 and at this point, the computer would pick Alabama to win that game since it is in Tuscaloosa.

Why isn't Auburn higher?  Let's remember that while they won by 18, it was at home and against a now 5-6 Georgia that lost to a 4-6 Colorado.  Additionally, while Oregon, TCU, and Stanford just had close games, Auburn had three wins each by just three points earlier this year against a 7-3 Mississippi State but more importantly against a 5-5 Clemson and 6-5 Kentucky.  When one looks at the entire season to this point, the teams ahead of them have had stronger results.

The SEC is represented very well, with the 5, 6, 7, 12, and 13th ranked teams, but the Pac-10 is as well with the 1, 2, 11, 23, and 25th ranked teams.  And the Big-12 also has 5 teams in the top-25 with 9, 10, 15, 16, and 19.

The computer eked out a winning record going 29-26-1, and the locks went 3-2.  See the prediction performance for more details.

Here is the top-30.  See the web-site for the full list.

Rank	Team	Rating	Record	Schedule	Change
Rank	Team	Rating	Record	Schedule	Change
1	Oregon	90.628	10-0	68.083	+0, -3.042
2	Stanford	84.123	9-1	71.460	+1, -1.505
3	Boise St	83.562	9-0	62.683	+1, -1.310
4	TCU	83.524	11-0	62.552	-2, -6.140
5	Auburn	82.193	11-0	67.178	+1, +1.297
6	Alabama	81.918	8-2	69.562	+2, +1.585
7	Arkansas	80.117	8-2	66.520	+5, +1.114
8	Ohio State	80.079	9-1	62.612	+2, +0.238
9	Oklahoma St	79.669	9-1	66.402	+0, -0.247
10	Nebraska	79.529	9-1	65.364	-5, -2.004
11	Southern Cal	78.567	7-3	72.756	+3, +0.496
12	South Carolina	78.530	7-3	70.096	+13, +3.297
13	LSU	78.193	9-1	67.506	+4, +0.208
14	Wisconsin	77.711	9-1	62.425	+4, -0.268
15	Missouri	77.555	8-2	68.163	+1, -0.440
16	Texas A&M	77.539	7-3	68.312	+5, +1.103
17	Iowa	77.084	7-3	64.852	-10, -3.739
18	Virginia Tech	77.056	8-2	64.568	+6, +1.610
19	Oklahoma	76.905	8-2	67.981	+1, +0.253
20	Arizona	76.628	7-3	68.602	-9, -2.408
21	Nevada	76.386	9-1	62.055	-2, -0.912
22	Michigan St	75.758	9-1	63.931	+0, -0.612
23	Arizona St	75.537	4-6	72.056	+0, -0.604
24	Miami FL	75.235	7-3	67.032	+4, +0.725
25	California	75.204	5-5	72.397	+1, -0.015
26	Florida St	73.921	7-3	66.048	+3, -0.428
27	Florida	73.831	6-4	69.392	+0, -1.201
28	North Carolina St	73.348	7-3	64.381	+6, +0.065
29	Mississippi St	73.235	7-3	66.238	+1, -1.019
30	Georgia	72.927	5-6	67.353	+6, +0.267