2010 NFL Week 8 Super Bowl Chances; New England 28% chance of winning it all

At mid-season it is always fun to take a look at the projected records to determine who would make the playoffs and where they'd be seeded, and then look at the chances of each team to make the Super Bowl and win it all.

Below is the table using the current projected records.

By virtue of being the #1 seeds and thus having home field advantage as well as currently being the highest rated teams in their conferences, New England and Atlanta are projected to meet in the Super Bowl (45% and 41% respectively) with New England being the favorite to win at 28%.  28% is pretty high, but things can change, and there is a 72% chance that someone else wins it.

Atlanta, Green Bay, and Baltimore are grouped close together in the mid-teens and after that it drops off quite a bit.  Will one of these 4 teams win it all or will it be what is an outsider at this point that comes through?

Team	Conference	Superbowl
New England	0.454	0.284
Atlanta	0.411	0.162
Green Bay	0.352	0.154
Baltimore	0.238	0.134
NY Giants	0.130	0.054
Indianapolis	0.124	0.075
Pittsburgh	0.078	0.046
NY Jets	0.055	0.033
St Louis	0.052	0.015
Kansas City	0.050	0.026
New Orleans	0.039	0.012
Tampa Bay	0.017	0.004