Tuesday, November 2, 2010

2010 NFL Week 8 Projections; Baltimore and New England 12-4

With many teams halfway through their season, the projected records and playoff teams become a lot more clear.  Based on the current, rankings here are the season ending projections.

Baltimore and New England would top the AFC at 12-4 with the Patriots having the better shot at 13-3 and clear home field advantage through the playoffs.  The Jets and Pittsburgh would have to settle for the  wildcards at 11-5 along with Indianapolis and Kansas City winning their divisions with that record.  The only team really threatening to break into the mix is Tennessee with Miami a bit far back.

In the NFC only one team is projected to be even 11-5, that being Atlanta, with Green Bay and the Giants winning divisions at 10-6.  There is a three way fight for the wildcard spots with New Orleans and Tampa Bay having better chances of 9-7 records, but Philly does have a good shot at 10-6 too which could nail down a wildcard and vie for the division.  And right now, there is projected to be an 8-8 division winner in St. Louis but it could come down to tie-breakers with Seattle.

Team Record % chance % +1 % -1
Team Record % chance % +1 % -1
Baltimore 12-4 29.0 16.0 28.3
New England 12-4 27.8 22.1 22.0
NY Jets 11-5 29.7 22.9 22.6
Indianapolis 11-5 29.3 21.1 24.0
Pittsburgh 11-5 28.6 27.5 17.8
Atlanta 11-5 28.6 23.3 21.6
Kansas City 11-5 26.7 17.8 25.1
Green Bay 10-6 31.3 24.6 22.0
Tennessee 10-6 28.3 19.0 25.3
NY Giants 10-6 26.9 23.7 19.6
New Orleans 9-7 29.0 23.5 21.5
Miami 9-7 28.4 19.9 24.5
Tampa Bay 9-7 27.9 19.8 24.4
Philadelphia 9-7 26.6 24.0 19.1
Washington 8-8 28.5 20.1 24.6
San Diego 8-8 28.3 18.1 26.1
St Louis 8-8 27.7 22.2 21.9
Houston 8-8 26.7 20.3 22.8
Oakland 8-8 26.7 16.9 26.4
Seattle 8-8 26.1 24.3 18.1
Jacksonville 7-9 27.8 26.1 17.8
Chicago 7-9 27.6 24.8 18.8
Minnesota 7-9 27.3 17.8 25.8
Arizona 7-9 27.2 23.0 20.5
Detroit 7-9 26.1 18.8 23.7
Cleveland 6-10 28.0 20.0 24.4
Cincinnati 5-11 32.6 22.6 24.5
San Francisco 5-11 29.5 24.7 20.6
Denver 5-11 28.7 21.8 23.1
Dallas 4-12 28.5 19.1 25.9
Carolina 2-14 35.8 29.9 17.2
Buffalo 2-14 30.1 26.0 19.3