Friday, March 12, 2010

Who the computer says should make the NCAA tournament 3/12 version

To update the previous entry on the subject, here is the updated list of who the computer says should make the NCAA tournament.  The change column is the change in ranking/rating since Sunday.

The last 4 at-large in would presently be San Diego State, Ole Miss, Florida, and Georgia Tech.  The first 4 on the outside would be UConn, Memphis, Seton Hall, and ASU.

Changes from the Sunday forecast at-large teams are:
  • UConn out - Needed a run to cement borderline spot and lost first round
  • Florida in - One win thus far got them to next to last in
There were also a few changes in auto-bids, those being:

  • IUPUI out and Oakland in for the Summit League
  • Ohio U. forecast to win the MAC replacing Kent St. that lost in the league tourney
  • Robert Morris replacing Quinnipiac who they beat in the Northeast tourney

The computer already had ASU out and UW in on Sunday, and that has stayed the same.  It also had Notre Dame in and they've cemented that.

Stay tuned for more updates.

RankTeamRatingRecordScheduleChange
RankTeamRatingRecordScheduleChange
1Kansas*95.96930-281.256+0, -0.320
2Duke*94.52126-581.871+0, -0.187
3Syracuse92.91128-481.141+0, -0.699
4Baylor91.83624-680.984+3, +0.576
5Kansas St91.66924-682.396+1, +0.382
6West Virginia*91.37225-683.327-2, -0.436
7Kentucky*91.24029-279.675-2, -0.166
8Ohio State*90.76024-779.873+0, -0.200
9Purdue90.60626-480.663+0, -0.254
10Brigham Young*90.49128-477.864+0, -0.299
11Wisconsin90.33123-781.331+1, -0.228
12Georgetown DC90.23222-983.318+4, +0.859
13Villanova90.17324-782.538-2, -0.433
14Maryland90.05922-780.855-1, -0.193
15Texas A&M89.31422-881.846-1, -0.299
16Marquette89.07422-1080.954+1, +0.023
17California*89.01422-981.401+2, +0.036
18Xavier OH*88.65223-780.369+2, -0.148
19Texas88.23124-981.503-1, -0.779
20Michigan St88.21424-780.785+2, -0.209
21Notre Dame88.20323-1080.137+7, +0.575
22Butler*88.19828-478.858+4, +0.375
23Temple88.18526-580.259+0, -0.120
24Pittsburgh88.12824-881.607-3, -0.437
25Missouri88.04022-1080.089-10, -1.417
26Utah St*87.98125-677.273+1, +0.253
27Clemson87.66321-1081.139-3, -0.589
28St Mary's CA*87.54125-577.435+9, +0.693
29Vanderbilt87.36222-781.223+1, -0.146
30Northern Iowa*87.25928-478.228+1, -0.184
31New Mexico87.19729-378.619-2, -0.417
32UTEP*87.17825-576.727+6, +0.357
33Tennessee87.17024-780.448-1, -0.238
34Florida St86.93722-880.734+1, -0.157
35Oklahoma St86.85622-1080.689-1, -0.336
36Louisville86.84020-1281.964-3, -0.501
37Washington86.79022-979.947-1, -0.098
38Gonzaga86.63125-678.249-13, -1.193
39Dayton86.59120-1179.707+0, -0.058
40UNLV86.43123-778.710+1, +0.042
41Minnesota86.22619-1280.203+6, +0.367
42Virginia Tech86.16523-779.036+0, -0.165
43Richmond86.05124-778.951+0, -0.262
44Georgia Tech86.02019-1181.191+0, -0.207
45Old Dominion*85.70626-878.152+1, -0.178
46Florida85.61621-1179.946+5, +0.039
47Mississippi85.59221-979.446+1, -0.127
48San Diego St85.55721-879.402-3, -0.425
50Siena*85.26327-676.706+4, +0.002
56Murray St*84.64128-472.871+1, -0.167
62Cornell NY*83.89325-475.159+0, -0.174
75Wofford*82.68125-875.686+1, -0.010
93Ohio U.*81.32418-1476.787+8, +0.573
95Montana*81.10120-975.147+1, +0.005
105Sam Houston St*80.46720-774.476-10, -0.667
110Pacific CA*80.10220-1075.876+1, -0.127
118Oakland*79.70324-876.079+15, +0.815
144Vermont*77.86624-972.571+2, -0.220
149East Tennessee St*77.72519-1475.760+2, -0.179
158Morgan St*77.43525-972.749+2, +0.213
164North Texas*76.84121-873.410+8, +0.274
183Lehigh*75.72621-1070.694+2, -0.201
191Robert Morris PA*75.48723-1171.893+1, -0.120
202Winthrop*74.55617-1373.366+0, -0.203
257Arkansas-Pine Bluff*70.95915-1572.919-3, -0.325