Sunday, March 21, 2010

NCAA Tournament Round 1.5 System and Poll Comparison

After the first day of round 2 of the NCAA Tournament, here is an update of the system and poll comparison I posted for day 1 and round 1.

System/Poll
Points
Point Lost
Coaches
37
-66
Schmidt Computer
33
-60
RPI
33
-64
AP
32
-66
Sagarin
31
-60
Seeds
28
-64
Vegas
27
-64

The coaches poll continues to lead, but my computer has moved into the #2 slot tied with the RPI but having lost fewer future points.  The AP takes a step up over Sagarin while the Seeds and Vegas are still trailing.

Given that everyone had Kansas winning it all, there are a bunch of future lost points there (60) but my computer and Sagarin have only those lost points.  The Coaches poll on the other hand has already lost Temple today and Villanova in the next round.