Who the computer says should make the NCAA tournament

Using my computer's rankings as I write this with 5 games still to be finished this evening, here is who should make the 65 team tournament.  The list below is arrived at by taking the automatic bids determined thus far, the highest rated team from each conference yet to determine and auto-bid, and then the next 34 highest rated teams to fill out the bracket.  Those teams with an asterisk are the auto-bid or highest rated from their conference and thus the projected automatic bid.

With Saint Mary's beating Gonzaga last night, some might say an at-large bid was lost, but the computer actually had them comfortably in as an at-large through Sunday at #37 and is actually ranked ahead of Gonzaga now at #27 compared to Gonzaga at #37.

The last team in according to my rankings is Ole Miss at #48.  This means UConn and Seton Hall (both tied at #49), Florida, and Memphis are the last 4 left out.

Living in the Pac-10 country, there has been much debate if they will get 2 teams in.  The computer says they should get 3 with both Washington (#36) and ASU (#47) getting in.  The Pac-10 tourney could affect both and result in only 1 getting in.

ESPN's Bubble Watch has 6 bids for 17 teams, those being:

• ACC - They list Georgia Tech as having work to do, but the computer has them in at #43 but that is close enough they better win one game in the tournament.  ESPN lists Wake as a lock though and the computer disagrees having them at #54 so having work to do.
• Big East - ESPN lists Notre Dame as should be in and the computer agrees having them at #29, actually ahead of #33 Louisville who they have as a lock.  Seton Hall, as mentioned above is right there so another win may get them in, and ESPN lists South Florida which shouldn't really have a shot as they are #64.
• Big Televen - ESPN has Illinois and Minnesota needing to do some work and presently the computer has Minnesota in at #46 and Illinois out at #58.
• Big-12 - ESPN agrees with the computer that there are 7 in and not much after that.
• Pac-10 - As noted above, should get 2 with ASU or UW being the second.
• SEC - ESPN lists Florida, Ole Miss, and Mississippi State as bubble teams and the computer agrees with those being #51, #48, and #56 respectively.
• Mountain West - ESPN asks if 4 should make it and the computer, for now at least, says yes with UNLV at #40 and San Diego State at #44 making it.
• Atlantic 10 - ESPN has 3 on the bubble in Dayton, Rhode Island, and St. Louis, and only Dayton should get in at #39 which is ironically ahead of Richmond at #42 who ESPN says is a lock.
• Others - Utah State, UAB, and Memphis are listed and at #26 Utah State should be a lock but at #61 and #52 respectively, UAB and Memphis shouldn't be close at this point.

Note that all of this is not a prediction of what will happen, rather what the computer says should happen.

Rank	Team	Rating	Record	Schedule	Change
Rank	Team	Rating	Record	Schedule	Change
1	Kansas*	96.254	29-2	81.308	+0, -0.035
2	Duke*	94.614	26-5	82.001	+0, -0.094
3	Syracuse*	93.622	28-3	80.940	+0, +0.012
4	West Virginia	91.778	24-6	83.505	+0, -0.030
5	Kentucky*	91.346	29-2	79.786	+0, -0.060
6	Kansas St	91.251	23-6	82.448	+0, -0.036
7	Baylor	91.226	23-6	80.972	+0, -0.034
8	Ohio State*	90.900	24-7	80.021	+0, -0.060
9	Purdue	90.799	26-4	80.913	+0, -0.061
10	Brigham Young*	90.775	27-4	77.994	+0, -0.015
11	Villanova	90.586	24-6	82.428	+0, -0.020
12	Wisconsin	90.475	23-7	81.439	+0, -0.084
13	Maryland	90.194	22-7	81.001	+0, -0.058
14	Texas A&M	89.576	21-8	82.081	+0, -0.037
15	Missouri	89.413	22-9	80.121	+0, -0.044
16	Georgetown DC	89.350	20-9	83.167	+0, -0.023
17	Marquette	89.035	20-10	80.641	+0, -0.016
18	California*	88.965	21-9	81.668	+1, -0.013
19	Texas	88.923	23-8	81.246	-1, -0.087
20	Xavier OH*	88.772	23-7	80.476	+0, -0.028
21	Pittsburgh	88.590	24-7	81.593	+0, +0.025
22	Michigan St	88.361	24-7	80.942	+0, -0.062
23	Temple	88.325	26-5	80.388	+0, +0.020
24	Clemson	88.199	21-9	81.205	+0, -0.053
25	Butler*	87.804	27-4	79.016	+1, -0.019
26	Utah St*	87.756	24-6	77.429	+1, +0.028
27	St Mary's CA*	87.728	25-5	77.626	+10, +0.880
28	New Mexico	87.597	28-3	78.820	+1, -0.017
29	Notre Dame	87.566	21-10	79.867	-1, -0.062
30	Vanderbilt	87.480	22-7	81.344	+0, -0.028
31	Northern Iowa*	87.411	28-4	78.447	+0, -0.032
32	Tennessee	87.360	23-7	80.768	+0, -0.048
33	Louisville	87.290	20-11	82.036	+0, -0.051
34	Oklahoma St	87.165	21-9	80.453	+0, -0.027
35	Florida St	87.047	22-8	80.853	+0, -0.047
36	Washington	86.879	21-9	80.072	+0, -0.009
37	Gonzaga	86.869	25-6	78.485	-12, -0.955
38	UTEP*	86.795	24-5	76.695	+0, -0.026
39	Dayton	86.721	20-11	79.837	+0, +0.072
40	UNLV	86.371	22-7	78.845	+1, -0.018
41	Virginia Tech	86.284	23-7	79.160	+1, -0.046
42	Richmond	86.263	24-7	79.171	+1, -0.050
43	Georgia Tech	86.166	18-11	81.300	+1, -0.061
44	San Diego St	85.993	20-8	79.570	+1, +0.011
45	Old Dominion*	85.885	26-8	78.347	+1, +0.001
46	Minnesota	85.798	18-12	80.302	+1, -0.061
47	Arizona St	85.692	22-9	79.515	+2, -0.015
48	Mississippi	85.684	21-9	79.506	+0, -0.035
53	Siena*	85.373	27-6	76.836	+1, +0.112
57	Murray St*	84.762	28-4	73.008	+0, -0.046
63	Cornell NY*	84.098	25-4	75.376	-1, +0.031
68	Kent St*	83.288	22-8	78.069	+0, -0.011
73	Wofford*	82.900	25-8	75.898	+3, +0.209
93	Montana*	81.247	19-9	75.181	+3, +0.151
95	Sam Houston St*	81.106	18-7	74.833	+0, -0.028
96	IUPUI*	80.981	22-9	75.423	+3, +0.032
109	Pacific CA*	80.241	20-10	76.037	+2, +0.012
146	Vermont*	78.057	24-9	72.775	+0, -0.029
151	East Tennessee St*	77.862	19-14	75.917	+0, -0.042
160	Morgan St*	77.185	24-9	73.057	+0, -0.037
163	North Texas*	77.014	21-8	73.595	+9, +0.447
184	Quinnipiac*	75.936	23-8	69.034	-1, -0.006
186	Lehigh*	75.904	21-10	70.886	-1, -0.023
202	Winthrop*	74.688	17-13	73.500	+0, -0.071
254	Arkansas-Pine Bluff*	71.256	14-15	73.325	+0, -0.028