Saturday, January 1, 2011

Cotton Bowl Preview

The Cotton Bowl will take place on 1/1 pitting Northwestern against Texas Tech.

Northwestern is ranked #71 by the computer with a 7-5 record and a rating of 63.861 against a schedule strength of 64.873.  Their performance chart can be found below and shows they were somewhat consistent, their worst game being against Illinois and best game being against Iowa.  They are 2-9 against the spread this year and the computer is 7-4 picking their games against the spread and 9-2 picking winners in their games.

chart?chs=800x375&cht=lc&chco=000000,0000FF,00FF00,FF0000,00FFFF,FFFF00&chxt=x,y&chls=0|1|0|0|1|0&chdl=Current|Weekly|Win|Loss|Schedule|Opponent&chdlp=t&chds=30,110&chtt=71 Northwestern 63.861&chd=t:-1,62.583,70.090,72.518,59.470,66.071,55.588,-1,65.051,66.635,58.365,76.597,53.903,58.642,-1,-1,-1,-1|68.458,68.297,69.053,73.337,75.546,68.852,65.054,65.217,64.364,63.004,62.547,64.424,64.334,63.907,63.703,63.699,63.853,63.861|-1|-1|64.899,66.137,57.322,62.076,65.533,60.380,58.614,58.898,60.229,58.847,60.392,61.669,63.344,64.889,64.723,64.716,64.866,64.873|-1,57.571,-1,55.945,57.459,62.061,61.577,-1,76.040,60.624,69.354,75.586,71.668,80.205,-1,-1,-1,-1&chxl=0:||@Vandy|IllSt|@Rice|CMich|@Minn|Purdue|bye|MichSt|@Indiana|@PSU|Iowa|Ill|@Wisc|bye|bye|bye|bye|1:|30|50|70|90|110&chm=o,00FF00,0,01,40,1|o,00FF00,0,02,27,1|o,00FF00,0,03,38,1|o,00FF00,0,04,34,1|o,00FF00,0,05,43,1|o,FF0000,0,06,43,1|o,FF0000,0,08,34,1|o,00FF00,0,09,43,1|o,FF0000,0,10,35,1|o,00FF00,0,11,43,1|o,FF0000,0,12,38,1|o,FF0000,0,13,24,1|x,0000FF,1,-1,8,1|x,00FFFF,4,-1,8,1|d,FFFF00,5,-1,20,1|t63,0000FF,1,01,15,1|t62,0000FF,1,02,15,1|t36,0000FF,1,03,15,1|t29,0000FF,1,04,15,1|t56,0000FF,1,05,15,1|t79,0000FF,1,06,15,1|t71,0000FF,1,07,15,1|t74,0000FF,1,08,15,1|t77,0000FF,1,09,15,1|t77,0000FF,1,10,15,1|t69,0000FF,1,11,15,1|t73,0000FF,1,12,15,1|t73,0000FF,1,13,15,1|t74,0000FF,1,14,15,1|t75,0000FF,1,15,15,1|t72,0000FF,1,16,15,1|t71,0000FF,1,17,15,1|t45,00FFFF,4,01,15,1|t87,00FFFF,4,02,15,1|t77,00FFFF,4,03,15,1|t51,00FFFF,4,04,15,1|t101,00FFFF,4,05,15,1|t111,00FFFF,4,06,15,1|t112,00FFFF,4,07,15,1|t97,00FFFF,4,08,15,1|t105,00FFFF,4,09,15,1|t97,00FFFF,4,10,15,1|t89,00FFFF,4,11,15,1|t78,00FFFF,4,12,15,1|t61,00FFFF,4,13,15,1|h,000000,0,0.42,1,1

Texas Tech is ranked #50 by the computer with a 7-5 record and a rating of 69.391 against a schedule strength of 68.545.  Their performance chart can be found below and shows they were pretty consistent, their worst game being against Texas and best game being against Missouri.  They are 4-6-1 against the spread this year and the computer is 3-7-1 picking their games against the spread and 8-3 picking winners in their games.

chart?chs=800x375&cht=lc&chco=000000,0000FF,00FF00,FF0000,00FFFF,FFFF00&chxt=x,y&chls=0|1|0|0|1|0&chdl=Current|Weekly|Win|Loss|Schedule|Opponent&chdlp=t&chds=30,110&chtt=50 Texas_Tech 69.391&chd=t:-1,69.691,70.317,54.821,-1,57.218,77.045,62.951,74.299,64.722,84.083,61.510,75.246,75.377,-1,-1,-1,-1|78.405,76.123,76.937,74.120,69.942,66.815,68.308,67.933,67.936,66.296,68.501,66.739,68.581,69.209,69.061,69.084,69.294,69.391|-1|-1|67.664,65.844,62.562,67.484,61.388,64.487,65.069,67.189,67.017,67.781,69.036,69.415,68.967,68.351,68.203,68.232,68.446,68.545|-1,64.680,48.439,67.810,-1,68.207,70.034,79.609,68.288,79.297,80.072,81.455,-1,63.366,-1,-1,-1,-1&chxl=0:||SMU|@NewMex|Texas|bye|@IowaSt|Baylor|OkSt|@Colo|@TAMU|Mizzou|@Okla|WeberSt|Houston|bye|bye|bye|bye|1:|30|50|70|90|110&chm=o,00FF00,0,01,35,1|o,00FF00,0,02,25,1|o,FF0000,0,03,43,1|o,FF0000,0,05,41,1|o,00FF00,0,06,43,1|o,FF0000,0,07,36,1|o,00FF00,0,08,43,1|o,FF0000,0,09,30,1|o,00FF00,0,10,43,1|o,FF0000,0,11,28,1|o,00FF00,0,12,25,1|o,00FF00,0,13,34,1|x,0000FF,1,-1,8,1|x,00FFFF,4,-1,8,1|d,FFFF00,5,-1,20,1|t21,0000FF,1,01,15,1|t23,0000FF,1,02,15,1|t30,0000FF,1,03,15,1|t56,0000FF,1,04,15,1|t69,0000FF,1,05,15,1|t57,0000FF,1,06,15,1|t60,0000FF,1,07,15,1|t56,0000FF,1,08,15,1|t58,0000FF,1,09,15,1|t50,0000FF,1,10,15,1|t58,0000FF,1,11,15,1|t54,0000FF,1,12,15,1|t49,0000FF,1,13,15,1|t50,0000FF,1,14,15,1|t50,0000FF,1,15,15,1|t50,0000FF,1,16,15,1|t50,0000FF,1,17,15,1|t47,00FFFF,4,01,15,1|t63,00FFFF,4,02,15,1|t33,00FFFF,4,03,15,1|t88,00FFFF,4,04,15,1|t63,00FFFF,4,05,15,1|t62,00FFFF,4,06,15,1|t38,00FFFF,4,07,15,1|t39,00FFFF,4,08,15,1|t24,00FFFF,4,09,15,1|t19,00FFFF,4,10,15,1|t11,00FFFF,4,11,15,1|t19,00FFFF,4,12,15,1|t20,00FFFF,4,13,15,1|h,000000,0,0.49,1,1

The teams are not separated by 2 degrees but are by 3 as follows:

3 Northwestern-->Illinois-->Missouri-->Texas_Tech
3 Northwestern-->Iowa-->Iowa_St-->Texas_Tech
3 Northwestern-->Rice-->Baylor-->Texas_Tech
3 Northwestern-->Rice-->Houston-->Texas_Tech
3 Northwestern-->Rice-->SMU-->Texas_Tech
3 Northwestern-->Rice-->Texas-->Texas_Tech

The spread is Texas Tech by 10 and the computer agrees picking by 5.4.  Here is the pick using the format from the newsletter:

 .Northwestern         +10.0 over *.           Texas Tech  5.4  4.6 0.726 0.696

Enjoy!