Friday, December 31, 2010

Another Free Preview: Rose Bowl TCU vs Wisconsin

The Rose Bowl will take place on 1/1 pitting Wisconsin against TCU.

Wisconsin is ranked #12 by the computer with a 11-1 record and a rating of 80.205 against a schedule strength of 64.176.  Their performance chart can be found below and shows they were ok early but improved late, their worst game being against San Jose State and best game being against Ohio State.  They are 7-5 against the spread this year and the computer is 5-6 picking their games against the spread and 9-2 picking winners in their games.

chart?chs=800x375&cht=lc&chco=000000,0000FF,00FF00,FF0000,00FFFF,FFFF00&chxt=x,y&chls=0|1|0|0|1|0&chdl=Current|Weekly|Win|Loss|Schedule|Opponent&chdlp=t&chds=30,110&chtt=12 Wisconsin 80.205&chd=t:-1,74.858,63.734,75.540,73.017,69.051,76.720,91.889,79.597,-1,80.266,84.391,86.521,85.446,-1,-1,-1,-1|74.447,76.727,74.284,71.709,71.381,70.332,74.213,79.489,79.733,78.482,77.979,77.711,79.863,80.258,80.054,80.061,80.217,80.205|-1|-1|67.553,63.933,59.875,61.146,56.939,60.484,62.334,64.034,65.233,63.538,63.274,62.425,64.180,64.097,64.072,64.077,64.234,64.176|-1,56.082,53.724,77.528,-1,76.040,62.061,81.878,75.586,-1,61.577,60.624,68.765,63.861,-1,-1,-1,-1&chxl=0:||@UNLV|SJSt|ASU|AustinPeay|@MichSt|Minn|tOSU|@Iowa|bye|@Purdue|Indiana|@Mich|Nwstrn|bye|bye|bye|bye|1:|30|50|70|90|110&chm=o,00FF00,0,01,22,1|o,00FF00,0,02,14,1|o,00FF00,0,03,37,1|o,00FF00,0,04,4,1|o,FF0000,0,05,43,1|o,00FF00,0,06,22,1|o,00FF00,0,07,42,1|o,00FF00,0,08,41,1|o,00FF00,0,10,27,1|o,00FF00,0,11,20,1|o,00FF00,0,12,35,1|o,00FF00,0,13,24,1|x,0000FF,1,-1,8,1|x,00FFFF,4,-1,8,1|d,FFFF00,5,-1,20,1|t14,0000FF,1,01,15,1|t31,0000FF,1,02,15,1|t44,0000FF,1,03,15,1|t50,0000FF,1,04,15,1|t51,0000FF,1,05,15,1|t35,0000FF,1,06,15,1|t20,0000FF,1,07,15,1|t17,0000FF,1,08,15,1|t16,0000FF,1,09,15,1|t18,0000FF,1,10,15,1|t14,0000FF,1,11,15,1|t11,0000FF,1,12,15,1|t11,0000FF,1,13,15,1|t12,0000FF,1,14,15,1|t12,0000FF,1,15,15,1|t12,0000FF,1,16,15,1|t12,0000FF,1,17,15,1|t53,00FFFF,4,01,15,1|t73,00FFFF,4,02,15,1|t86,00FFFF,4,03,15,1|t111,00FFFF,4,04,15,1|t100,00FFFF,4,05,15,1|t91,00FFFF,4,06,15,1|t76,00FFFF,4,07,15,1|t56,00FFFF,4,08,15,1|t68,00FFFF,4,09,15,1|t77,00FFFF,4,10,15,1|t80,00FFFF,4,11,15,1|t66,00FFFF,4,12,15,1|t71,00FFFF,4,13,15,1|h,000000,0,0.63,1,1

TCU is ranked #4 by the computer with a 12-0 record and a rating of 84.976 against a schedule strength of 63.615.  Their performance chart can be found below and shows they were pretty good all year but stumbled a bit late, their worst game being against San Diego State and best game being against Utah.  They are 5-5 against the spread this year and the computer is 5-5 picking their games against the spread and 10-0 picking winners in their games.

chart?chs=800x375&cht=lc&chco=000000,0000FF,00FF00,FF0000,00FFFF,FFFF00&chxt=x,y&chls=0|1|0|0|1|0&chdl=Current|Weekly|Win|Loss|Schedule|Opponent&chdlp=t&chds=30,110&chtt=4 TCU 84.976&chd=t:-1,83.836,78.375,90.082,81.873,78.341,82.535,86.475,92.262,80.958,93.869,74.709,-1,77.408,-1,-1,-1,-1|85.160,84.965,84.209,84.520,85.330,85.651,86.859,86.870,86.864,86.391,89.664,83.524,84.681,84.457,84.458,84.486,84.830,84.976|-1|-1|67.725,75.769,62.669,63.380,65.782,63.789,65.391,64.904,64.802,63.364,64.209,62.552,63.878,63.149,63.120,63.133,63.419,63.615|-1,74.825,-1,70.034,64.680,56.577,58.921,67.501,73.204,56.082,73.290,72.698,-1,48.439,-1,-1,-1,-1&chxl=0:||OrSt|TennTech|Baylor|@SMU|@CSU|Wyoming|BYU|AF|@UNLV|@Utah|SDSt|bye|@NewMex|bye|bye|bye|bye|1:|30|50|70|90|110&chm=o,00FF00,0,01,33,1|o,00FF00,0,02,5,1|o,00FF00,0,03,25,1|o,00FF00,0,04,26,1|o,00FF00,0,05,18,1|o,00FF00,0,06,14,1|o,00FF00,0,07,23,1|o,00FF00,0,08,28,1|o,00FF00,0,09,17,1|o,00FF00,0,10,34,1|o,00FF00,0,11,28,1|o,00FF00,0,13,9,1|x,0000FF,1,-1,8,1|x,00FFFF,4,-1,8,1|d,FFFF00,5,-1,20,1|t2,0000FF,1,01,15,1|t4,0000FF,1,02,15,1|t6,0000FF,1,03,15,1|t6,0000FF,1,04,15,1|t7,0000FF,1,05,15,1|t4,0000FF,1,06,15,1|t2,0000FF,1,07,15,1|t2,0000FF,1,08,15,1|t2,0000FF,1,09,15,1|t2,0000FF,1,10,15,1|t4,0000FF,1,11,15,1|t4,0000FF,1,12,15,1|t3,0000FF,1,13,15,1|t4,0000FF,1,14,15,1|t4,0000FF,1,15,15,1|t4,0000FF,1,16,15,1|t4,0000FF,1,17,15,1|t24,00FFFF,4,01,15,1|t62,00FFFF,4,02,15,1|t67,00FFFF,4,03,15,1|t49,00FFFF,4,04,15,1|t71,00FFFF,4,05,15,1|t55,00FFFF,4,06,15,1|t71,00FFFF,4,07,15,1|t62,00FFFF,4,08,15,1|t71,00FFFF,4,09,15,1|t62,00FFFF,4,10,15,1|t77,00FFFF,4,11,15,1|t72,00FFFF,4,12,15,1|t81,00FFFF,4,13,15,1|h,000000,0,0.69,1,1

The teams are separated by 2 degrees through UNLV as follows:

2 Wisconsin-->UNLV-->TCU
3 Wisconsin-->Arizona_St-->Oregon_St-->TCU
3 Wisconsin-->Austin_Peay-->Tennessee_Tech-->TCU
3 Wisconsin-->San_Jose_St-->Utah-->TCU
3 Wisconsin-->UNLV-->Air_Force-->TCU
3 Wisconsin-->UNLV-->Brigham_Young-->TCU
3 Wisconsin-->UNLV-->Colorado_St-->TCU
3 Wisconsin-->UNLV-->New_Mexico-->TCU
3 Wisconsin-->UNLV-->San_Diego_St-->TCU
3 Wisconsin-->UNLV-->Utah-->TCU
3 Wisconsin-->UNLV-->Wyoming-->TCU

Against UNLV, Wisconsin won 41-21 on the road and TCU won 48-6 on the road.

The spread was TCU by 1.5 but now more around 3 and the computer agrees picking them by 4.4.  Here is the pick using the format from the newsletter:

*.TCU                   -1.5 over  .            Wisconsin  4.4  2.9 0.651 0.601

Enjoy!