Saturday, January 8, 2011

New Orleans at Seattle Preview

New Orleans plays at Seattle on 1/8 in a playoff game.

New Orleans is ranked #9 by the computer with a 11-5 record and a rating of 83.072 against a schedule strength of 79.651.  Their performance chart can be found below and shows they were very up and down early in the year, their worst game being @Arizona and best game being @Tampa Bay.  They are 7-9 against the spread this year and the computer is 9-7 picking their games against the spread and 8-8 picking winners in their games.

chart?chs=800x375&cht=lc&chco=000000,0000FF,00FF00,FF0000,00FFFF,FFFF00&chxt=x,y&chls=0|1|0|0|1|0&chdl=Current|Weekly|Win|Loss|Schedule|Opponent&chdlp=t&chds=50,110&chtt=9 New_Orleans 83.072&chd=t:-1,83.196,83.785,79.006,71.849,64.987,98.096,66.598,95.010,88.106,-1,86.710,86.727,86.475,90.032,82.451,92.606,70.210|88.664,88.752,85.971,83.107,79.083,76.140,79.351,76.961,79.820,81.313,80.695,81.396,82.074,82.598,83.450,82.943,84.140,83.072|-1|-1|80.978,82.929,78.163,79.282,75.285,76.133,77.004,76.617,77.969,78.079,77.489,77.030,77.806,78.219,78.139,78.547,79.592,79.651|-1,80.212,77.007,85.818,71.854,72.566,82.011,80.011,87.407,71.854,-1,75.528,79.945,78.884,77.032,86.452,85.818,82.011&chxl=0:||MIN|@SFO|ATL|CAR|@ARI|@TAM|CLE|PIT|@CAR|bye|SEA|@DAL|@CIN|STL|@BAL|@ATL|TAM|1:|50|60|70|80|90|100|110&chm=o,00FF00,0,01,37,1|o,00FF00,0,02,40,1|o,FF0000,0,03,43,1|o,00FF00,0,04,29,1|o,FF0000,0,05,43,1|o,00FF00,0,06,43,1|o,FF0000,0,07,43,1|o,00FF00,0,08,43,1|o,00FF00,0,09,35,1|o,00FF00,0,11,32,1|o,00FF00,0,12,43,1|o,00FF00,0,13,42,1|o,00FF00,0,14,34,1|o,FF0000,0,15,37,1|o,00FF00,0,16,43,1|o,FF0000,0,17,43,1|x,0000FF,1,-1,8,1|x,00FFFF,4,-1,8,1|d,FFFF00,5,-1,20,1|t1,0000FF,1,01,15,1|t4,0000FF,1,02,15,1|t14,0000FF,1,03,15,1|t20,0000FF,1,04,15,1|t29,0000FF,1,05,15,1|t22,0000FF,1,06,15,1|t27,0000FF,1,07,15,1|t19,0000FF,1,08,15,1|t15,0000FF,1,09,15,1|t17,0000FF,1,10,15,1|t16,0000FF,1,11,15,1|t13,0000FF,1,12,15,1|t11,0000FF,1,13,15,1|t9,0000FF,1,14,15,1|t11,0000FF,1,15,15,1|t8,0000FF,1,16,15,1|t9,0000FF,1,17,15,1|t14,00FFFF,4,01,15,1|t26,00FFFF,4,02,15,1|t23,00FFFF,4,03,15,1|t31,00FFFF,4,04,15,1|t32,00FFFF,4,05,15,1|t32,00FFFF,4,06,15,1|t32,00FFFF,4,07,15,1|t31,00FFFF,4,08,15,1|t31,00FFFF,4,09,15,1|t31,00FFFF,4,10,15,1|t32,00FFFF,4,11,15,1|h,000000,0,0.55,1,1

Seattle is ranked #29 by the computer with a 7-9 record and a rating of 75.528 against a schedule strength of 78.778.  Their performance chart can be found below and shows they were very up and down all year, their worst game being @Denver and best game being against San Francisco.  They are 7-9 against the spread this year and the computer is 9-7 picking their games against the spread and 10-6 picking winners in their games.

chart?chs=800x375&cht=lc&chco=000000,0000FF,00FF00,FF0000,00FFFF,FFFF00&chxt=x,y&chls=0|1|0|0|1|0&chdl=Current|Weekly|Win|Loss|Schedule|Opponent&chdlp=t&chds=50,110&chtt=29 Seattle 75.528&chd=t:-1,92.385,61.806,87.673,64.632,-1,91.466,81.787,64.025,65.901,87.787,71.877,65.415,84.249,63.585,71.206,67.010,84.632|74.401,79.968,78.023,78.484,77.309,76.700,79.346,79.692,78.047,77.106,78.276,77.065,76.116,76.780,75.958,75.461,74.816,75.528|-1|-1|79.700,72.693,75.611,75.620,78.107,77.683,79.767,78.016,79.115,79.555,79.188,79.219,79.218,78.394,78.727,78.830,79.113,78.778|-1,77.007,74.208,82.669,77.032,-1,84.664,72.566,80.098,82.239,72.566,83.072,80.603,71.854,77.007,85.818,82.011,77.032&chxl=0:||SFO|@DEN|SDG|@STL|bye|@CHI|ARI|@OAK|NYG|@ARI|@NWO|KAN|CAR|@SFO|ATL|@TAM|STL|1:|50|60|70|80|90|100|110&chm=o,00FF00,0,01,41,1|o,FF0000,0,02,41,1|o,00FF00,0,03,43,1|o,FF0000,0,04,38,1|o,00FF00,0,06,43,1|o,00FF00,0,07,37,1|o,FF0000,0,08,35,1|o,FF0000,0,09,39,1|o,00FF00,0,10,43,1|o,FF0000,0,11,32,1|o,FF0000,0,12,41,1|o,00FF00,0,13,36,1|o,FF0000,0,14,39,1|o,FF0000,0,15,36,1|o,FF0000,0,16,34,1|o,00FF00,0,17,42,1|x,0000FF,1,-1,8,1|x,00FFFF,4,-1,8,1|d,FFFF00,5,-1,20,1|t21,0000FF,1,01,15,1|t22,0000FF,1,02,15,1|t20,0000FF,1,03,15,1|t25,0000FF,1,04,15,1|t26,0000FF,1,05,15,1|t23,0000FF,1,06,15,1|t19,0000FF,1,07,15,1|t25,0000FF,1,08,15,1|t26,0000FF,1,09,15,1|t26,0000FF,1,10,15,1|t28,0000FF,1,11,15,1|t30,0000FF,1,12,15,1|t27,0000FF,1,13,15,1|t29,0000FF,1,14,15,1|t29,0000FF,1,15,15,1|t29,0000FF,1,16,15,1|t29,0000FF,1,17,15,1|t30,00FFFF,4,01,15,1|t30,00FFFF,4,02,15,1|t31,00FFFF,4,03,15,1|t27,00FFFF,4,04,15,1|t30,00FFFF,4,05,15,1|t22,00FFFF,4,06,15,1|t29,00FFFF,4,07,15,1|t27,00FFFF,4,08,15,1|t26,00FFFF,4,09,15,1|t25,00FFFF,4,10,15,1|t27,00FFFF,4,11,15,1|h,000000,0,0.43,1,1

The teams played head to head, the Saints winning, are separated by 2 degrees as follows:

1 New_Orleans-->Seattle
2 New_Orleans-->Arizona-->Seattle
2 New_Orleans-->Arizona-->Seattle
2 New_Orleans-->Atlanta-->Seattle
2 New_Orleans-->Atlanta-->Seattle
2 New_Orleans-->Carolina-->Seattle
2 New_Orleans-->Carolina-->Seattle
2 New_Orleans-->San_Francisco-->Seattle
2 New_Orleans-->San_Francisco-->Seattle
2 New_Orleans-->St_Louis-->Seattle
2 New_Orleans-->St_Louis-->Seattle
2 New_Orleans-->Tampa_Bay-->Seattle
2 New_Orleans-->Tampa_Bay-->Seattle

The spread is New Orleans by as much as 11.5 and the computer has them winning but not by that much.  Here is the pick using the format from the newsletter:

.xSeattle              +11.5 over  *          New_Orleans  4.5  7.0 0.621 0.681

Enjoy!